Future Babble Why Expert by Gardner Dan (34 results)

Hardback. Condition: Good. New York Times bestselling author of Superforecasting and Future Babble Genuinely arresting . . . required reading for journalists, politicians, academics, and anyone who listens to them.--Steven Pinker, author of How the Mind Works We are awash in predictions. In newspapers, blogs, and books; on radio and television. Every day experts tell us how the economy will perform next year, if housing sales will grow or shrink, and who will win the next election. Predictions are offered about the climate, food, technology, and the world our grandchildren will inhabit. And we can't get enough of it.Drawing on research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner explores our obsession with the future. He shows how famous pundits, hedgehogs who stick to one big idea no matter how circumstances change, become expert at explaining away predictions that are wrong while foxes, who are more equivocal in their judgments, are simply more accurate.…

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Hardback. Condition: Good. New York Times bestselling author of Superforecasting and Future Babble Genuinely arresting . . . required reading for journalists, politicians, academics, and anyone who listens to them.--Steven Pinker, author of How the Mind Works We are awash in predictions. In newspapers, blogs, and books; on radio and television. Every day experts tell us how the economy will perform next year, if housing sales will grow or shrink, and who will win the next election. Predictions are offered about the climate, food, technology, and the world our grandchildren will inhabit. And we can't get enough of it.Drawing on research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner explores our obsession with the future. He shows how famous pundits, hedgehogs who stick to one big idea no matter how circumstances change, become expert at explaining away predictions that are wrong while foxes, who are more equivocal in their judgments, are simply more accurate.…

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Condition: Good. First Edition. Former library copy. Pages intact with minimal writing/highlighting. The binding may be loose and creased. Dust jackets/supplements are not included. Includes library markings. Stock photo provided. Product includes identifying sticker. Better World Books: Buy Books. Do Good. …

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Condition: Good. First Edition. Pages intact with minimal writing/highlighting. The binding may be loose and creased. Dust jackets/supplements are not included. Stock photo provided. Product includes identifying sticker. Better World Books: Buy Books. Do Good.

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paperback. Condition: Good. Most items will be dispatched the same or the next working day. A copy that has been read but remains in clean condition. All of the pages are intact and the cover is intact and the spine may show signs of wear. The book may have minor markings which are not specifically mentioned.…

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Condition: Very Good. Former library copy. Pages intact with possible writing/highlighting. Binding strong with minor wear. Dust jackets/supplements may not be included. Includes library markings. Stock photo provided. Product includes identifying sticker. Better World Books: Buy Books. Do Good.

Condition: Good. Former library copy. Pages intact with minimal writing/highlighting. The binding may be loose and creased. Dust jackets/supplements are not included. Includes library markings. Stock photo provided. Product includes identifying sticker. Better World Books: Buy Books. Do Good.

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Hardcover. Condition: Very Good. Very Good, Not Price Clipped. Canadian First. Complete number line from 1 to 5; some edge wear to boards and dust jacket; gift inscription on front end paper; otherwise a solid, clean copy with no marking or underlining; collectible condition. Book.

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Hardcover. Condition: Very Good+. Dust Jacket Condition: Very Good-. In great condition with no signs of having been read. The binding is tight and the pages are clean and crisp. The DJ edges are mostly straight and crisp but has bends/folds in places. Satisfaction guaranteed with 30-day returns. Ships from Canada.; 6.3 X 1.03 X 9.2 inches; 320 pages; R7 1.5m/1.4m s1. …

Paperback. Dan Gardner, Scribe Publications. For fans of Blink, The Tipping Point, and Freakonomics, here is a brilliant, funny, and accessible exploration of our flawed quest for certainty. For fans of Blink, The Tipping Point, and Freakonomics, here is a brilliant, funny, and accessible exploration of our flawed quest for certainty. In 2008, as the price of oil surged above $140 a barrel, experts said it would soon hit $200; a few months later, it plunged to $30. In 1967, they said the USSR would have one of the world's fastest-growing economies in the year 2000; in 2000, the USSR did not exist. In 1911, it was pronounced that there would be no more wars in Europe. Let's face it- experts are about as accurate as dart-throwing monkeys. And yet, every day, we ask them to predict everything from the weather to the likelihood of a terrorist attack. Future Babble is the first book to examine this phenomenon, demonstrating why our brains yearn for certainty about the future, why we are attracted to those who predict it confidently, and why it's so easy for us to ignore the trail of outrageously wrong forecasts. In this fast-paced, example-packed, sometimes darkly hilarious book, bestselling author Dan Gardner shows how pundits who are more famous are less accurate - and the average expert is no more accurate than a flipped coin. Gardner also draws on current research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioural economics to discover something quite reassuring- The future is always uncertain, but the end is not always near. 'As Yogi Berra observed, "it's tough to make predictions, especially about the future." In this brilliant and engaging book, Dan Gardner shows us how tough forecasting really is, and how easy it is to be convinced otherwise by a confident expert with a good story. This is must reading for anyone who cares about the future.' - Paul Slovic , Professor of Psychology, University of Oregon 'Future Babble is genuinely arresting . required reading for journalists, politicians, academics and anyone who listens to them.' - Steven Pinker, Professor of Psychology, Harvard University, author of How the Mind Works and The Stuff of Thought. Paperback.…

Paperback. Condition: Used; Good. ***Simply Brit*** Welcome to our online used book store, where affordability meets great quality. Dive into a world of captivating reads without breaking the bank. We take pride in offering a wide selection of used books, from classics to hidden gems, ensuring there is something for every literary palate. All orders are shipped within 24 hours and our lightning fast-delivery within 48 hours coupled with our prompt customer service ensures a smooth journey from ordering to delivery. Discover the joy of reading with us, your trusted source for affordable books that do not compromise on quality.…

Hardcover. Condition: Very Good. Dust Jacket Condition: Very Good. 305 pp, index. Signed by author on title page. Signed by Author(s).

Hardcover. Condition: Brand New. 320 pages. 9.00x6.50x1.00 inches. In Stock.