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Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail and Why We Believe them Anyway - Softcover

 
9780753522363: Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail and Why We Believe them Anyway

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Review

"Future Babble is genuinely arresting...required reading for journalists, politicians, academics and anyone who listens to them." (Steven Pinker)

"In this brilliant and engaging book, Dan Gardner shows us how tough forecasting really is, and how easy it is to be convinced otherwise by a confident expert with a good story. This is must reading for anyone who cares about the future." (Paul Slovic, Professor of Psychology, University of Oregon)

"Well-researched, well-reasoned, and engagingly written." (John Mueller, author of Overblown and Political Scientist, Ohio State University)

"A rare mix of superb scholarship and zesty prose." (Philip Tetlock, author of Expert Political Judgement and Mitchell Professor of Organizational Behavior, Hass School of Business, University of California)

"It is a tour de force, absolutely outstanding" (Matt Ridley)

Book Description

Bestselling author of Risk, Dan Gardner returns with a fascinating and accessible book that uses landmark research to debunk the whole expert prediction industry, exploring the psychology of our obsession with the future

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  • PublisherVirgin Books
  • Publication date2011
  • ISBN 10 0753522365
  • ISBN 13 9780753522363
  • BindingPaperback
  • LanguageEnglish
  • Number of pages320

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