Belkin Aaron (49 results)

Paperback. Condition: Very Good. 0. It's a well-cared-for item that has seen limited use. The item may show minor signs of wear. All the text is legible, with all pages included. It may have slight markings and/or highlighting.

Condition: good. A copy that has been read, remains in good condition. All pages are intact, and the cover is intact. The spine and cover show signs of wear. Pages can include notes and highlighting and show signs of wear, and the copy can include "From the library of" labels or previous owner inscriptions. 100% GUARANTEE! Shipped with delivery confirmation, if you're not satisfied with purchase please return item! Ships via media mail.…

Condition: Very Good. Former library copy. Pages intact with possible writing/highlighting. Binding strong with minor wear. Dust jackets/supplements may not be included. Includes library markings. Stock photo provided. Product includes identifying sticker. Better World Books: Buy Books. Do Good.

Condition: Very Good. Former library copy. Pages intact with possible writing/highlighting. Binding strong with minor wear. Dust jackets/supplements may not be included. Includes library markings. Stock photo provided. Product includes identifying sticker. Better World Books: Buy Books. Do Good.

Condition: Good. Former library copy. Pages intact with minimal writing/highlighting. The binding may be loose and creased. Dust jackets/supplements are not included. Includes library markings. Stock photo provided. Product includes identifying sticker. Better World Books: Buy Books. Do Good.

Condition: Very Good. Pages intact with possible writing/highlighting. Binding strong with minor wear. Dust jackets/supplements may not be included. Stock photo provided. Product includes identifying sticker. Better World Books: Buy Books. Do Good.

Paperback. Condition: Good. Proposes a set of criteria for distinguishing plausible from implausible counterfactual conjectures across a range of applications. This volume makes use of these and other criteria to evaluate counterfactuals that emerge in diverse methodological contexts including comparative case studies, game theory, and statistical analysis.…

Paperback. Condition: Good. Proposes a set of criteria for distinguishing plausible from implausible counterfactual conjectures across a range of applications. This volume makes use of these and other criteria to evaluate counterfactuals that emerge in diverse methodological contexts including comparative case studies, game theory, and statistical analysis.…

Softcover. Condition: Very good.

Paperback. Condition: Fair. No Jacket. Readable copy. Pages may have considerable notes/highlighting. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Paperback. Condition: Good. Good paperback, bumped/creased with shelfwear; may have previous owner's name inside. Standard-sized.

Paperback. Condition: Brand New. 200 pages. 9.00x6.00x0.25 inches. In Stock.

Hardcover. Condition: Very Good. It's a well-cared-for item that has seen limited use. The item may show minor signs of wear. All the text is legible, with all pages included. It may have slight markings and/or highlighting.

paperback. Condition: Good. clean used paperback copy, some markings on the pages, no stains or stickers, fast shipping with tracking number.

Hardcover. Condition: Good. Good - Bumped and creased book with tears to the extremities, but not affecting the text block, may have remainder mark or previous owner's name - GOOD Standard-sized.

Paperback. Condition: Fine. Quarto in green and blue glossy wraps; x, 344 pages; 23 cm; bibliographical references (pages 317-335) and index. Contents: 1. Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics: Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives / Philip E. Tetlock and Aaron Belkin -- 2. Causes and Counterfactuals in Social Science: Exploring an Analogy between Cellular Automata and Historical Processes / James D. Fearon -- 3. Counterfactual Reasoning in Western Studies of Soviet Politics and Foreign Relations / George W. Breslauer -- 4. Confronting Hitler and Its Consequences / Yuen Foong Khong -- 5. Back to the Past: Counterfactuals and the Cuban Missile Crisis / Richard Ned Lebow and Janice Gross Stein -- 6. Counterfactual Reasoning in Motivational Analysis: U.S. Policy toward Iran / Richard K. Herrmann and Michael P. Fischerkeller -- 7. Counterfactuals about War and Its Absence / Bruce Russett -- 8. Using Counterfactuals in Historical Analysis: Theories of Revolution / Edgar Kiser and Margaret Levi -- 9. Counterfactuals and International Affairs: Some Insights from Game Theory / Bruce Bueno de Mesquita. // World politics. History -- Philosophy. Counterfactuals (Logic) Thought experiments. Politique mondiale. Contrefactuels (Logique) Exp?riences de pens?e. Counterfactuals (Logic) History -- Philosophy. Thought experiments. World politics. Gedankenexperiment Geschichte Internationale Politik Aufsatzsammlung Internationale politiek. Counterfactual analysis. Teoria politica. Filosofia. Historia (teoria) World politics. History -- Philosophy. Counterfactuals (Logic) Political science -- Methodology. Aufsatzsammlung. Fine with very slight wear to edges. See photos.…

Condition: As New. Unread book in perfect condition.

Paperback. Condition: new. Paperback. Argues that leaders sometimes promote international conflicts to keep their own military politically divided. Argues that leaders sometimes promote international conflicts to keep their own military politically divided. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability.…

Condition: New.

Condition: New.

paperback. Condition: Good. Previous owners name inside. Proceeds benefit the Pima County Public Library system, which serves Tucson and southern Arizona.

brossura. Condition: Fine. 1. Copertina plastificata. Tagli sporchi di polvere in modo lievissimo. Pagine integre. 0691027919 Ottimo (Fine) . Book.

Condition: New. 2006. Annotated. paperback. . . . . .

Paperback. Condition: Very Good. Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at applying hypothetical reasoning to world politics, the contributors to this volume--including James Fearon, Richard Lebow, Margaret Levi, Bruce Russett, and Barry Weingast--find such counterfactual conjectures not only useful, but necessary for drawing causal inferences from historical data. Given the importance of counterfactuals, it is perhaps surprising that we lack standards for evaluating them. To fill this gap, Philip Tetlock and Aaron Belkin propose a set of criteria for distinguishing plausible from implausible counterfactual conjectures across a wide range of applications. The contributors to this volume make use of these and other criteria to evaluate counterfactuals that emerge in diverse methodological contexts including comparative case studies, game theory, and statistical analysis. Taken together, these essays go a long way toward establishing a more nuanced and rigorous framework for assessing counterfactual arguments about world politics in particular and about the social sciences more broadly. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged.…

Paperback. Condition: Brand New. new edition edition. 161 pages. 8.75x6.00x0.50 inches. In Stock.

Condition: As New. Unread book in perfect condition.

Condition: New. 2006. Annotated. paperback. . . . . . Books ship from the US and Ireland.

Condition: Gebraucht / Used. Fine state d579e.

Condition: New.

Condition: As New. Unread book in perfect condition.