Forecasting Coconut Offered at Colombo Coconut Auction: ARIMA Modeling

Language: English

Published by LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing Mai 2018, 2018

6139820979 / 9786139820979

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Seller: buchversandmimpf2000, Emtmannsberg, BAYE, Germanybuchversandmimpf2000

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Softcover

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This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware -Fresh coconuts are put up for the sale in Colombo coconut auction which is conducted by Coconut Development Authority. The present study was carried out with the objectives to identify the time series pattern of offered coconut quantity and selecting the best fitted model for short term and long term forecasting in Colombo coconut auction. The time series analysis methods i.e. ARIMA, Moving Average, Single and Double Exponential Smoothing were used to forecast the offered coconut quantity and the time series plots were used to identify the time series patterns like seasonal and non-seasonal,etc. in offered coconut quantity. ARIMA (0, 0, 1) (1, 1, 0) was fitted as the best ARIMA forecasting method for short term and long term forecasting. With using test data set, it was found that ARIMA (0,0,1) (1,1,0) has given the predicted values which are more close to the actual offered coconut quantities. The lowest Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value (10.55%) was recoded in ARIMA (0, 0, 1) (1, 1, 0). It proves that ARIMA (0, 0, 1) (1, 1, 0) was the best fitted forecasting method among the other tested methods.VDM Verlag, Dudweiler Landstraße 99, 66123 Saarbrücken 52 pp. Englisch.…

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Bibliographic details

Title
Forecasting Coconut Offered at Colombo Coconut Auction: ARIMA Modeling
Author
S. A. Pavani Thisara Kethimini Sirisena
Publisher
LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing Mai 2018
Publication year
2018
Condition
Neu
Binding
Taschenbuch
Language
English
ISBN 10
6139820979
ISBN 13
9786139820979
Item weight
96 grams
Dimensions
220x150x4 mm

buchversandmimpf2000

Emtmannsberg, BAYE, Germany

5-star seller

AbeBooks seller since January 23, 2017

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Impressum Thorsten Retsch Buchversand Mimpf2000 Oberölschnitz 16 95517 Emtmannsberg Deutschland Telefon: 09209-2023188 Email: mimpf2000@online.de USt-ID-Nr.: DE 235096871 Wir führen gebrauchte Bücher aus allen Sparten der Literatur

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Modernes Antiquariat - Bücher von 1960 bis heute

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buchversandmimpf2000

Germany