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Forecasting Coconut Offered at Colombo Coconut Auction: ARIMA Modeling: Time Series Analysis - Softcover

 
9786139820979: Forecasting Coconut Offered at Colombo Coconut Auction: ARIMA Modeling: Time Series Analysis

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S. A. Pavani Thisara Kethimini Sirisena
ISBN 10: 6139820979 ISBN 13: 9786139820979
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Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -Fresh coconuts are put up for the sale in Colombo coconut auction which is conducted by Coconut Development Authority. The present study was carried out with the objectives to identify the time series pattern of offered coconut quantity and selecting the best fitted model for short term and long term forecasting in Colombo coconut auction. The time series analysis methods i.e. ARIMA, Moving Average, Single and Double Exponential Smoothing were used to forecast the offered coconut quantity and the time series plots were used to identify the time series patterns like seasonal and non-seasonal,etc. in offered coconut quantity. ARIMA (0, 0, 1) (1, 1, 0) was fitted as the best ARIMA forecasting method for short term and long term forecasting. With using test data set, it was found that ARIMA (0,0,1) (1,1,0) has given the predicted values which are more close to the actual offered coconut quantities. The lowest Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value (10.55%) was recoded in ARIMA (0, 0, 1) (1, 1, 0). It proves that ARIMA (0, 0, 1) (1, 1, 0) was the best fitted forecasting method among the other tested methods. 52 pp. Englisch. Seller Inventory # 9786139820979

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S. A. Pavani Thisara Kethimini Sirisena
ISBN 10: 6139820979 ISBN 13: 9786139820979
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Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. nach der Bestellung gedruckt Neuware - Printed after ordering - Fresh coconuts are put up for the sale in Colombo coconut auction which is conducted by Coconut Development Authority. The present study was carried out with the objectives to identify the time series pattern of offered coconut quantity and selecting the best fitted model for short term and long term forecasting in Colombo coconut auction. The time series analysis methods i.e. ARIMA, Moving Average, Single and Double Exponential Smoothing were used to forecast the offered coconut quantity and the time series plots were used to identify the time series patterns like seasonal and non-seasonal,etc. in offered coconut quantity. ARIMA (0, 0, 1) (1, 1, 0) was fitted as the best ARIMA forecasting method for short term and long term forecasting. With using test data set, it was found that ARIMA (0,0,1) (1,1,0) has given the predicted values which are more close to the actual offered coconut quantities. The lowest Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value (10.55%) was recoded in ARIMA (0, 0, 1) (1, 1, 0). It proves that ARIMA (0, 0, 1) (1, 1, 0) was the best fitted forecasting method among the other tested methods. Seller Inventory # 9786139820979

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S. A. Pavani Thisara Kethimini Sirisena|D. A. B. N. Amarasekara|D. G. C. Diluk
Published by LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing, 2018
ISBN 10: 6139820979 ISBN 13: 9786139820979
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Condition: New. Dieser Artikel ist ein Print on Demand Artikel und wird nach Ihrer Bestellung fuer Sie gedruckt. Autor/Autorin: Thisara Kethimini Sirisena S. A. PavaniS. A. Pavani Thisara Kethimini Sirisena graduated in Bsc (Hons) in Agricultural Resource Management & Technology in University of Ruhuna, Faculty of Agriculture, Sri Lanka.Fresh coconuts are. Seller Inventory # 385872538

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Thisara Kethimini Sirisena, S. A. Pavani
ISBN 10: 6139820979 ISBN 13: 9786139820979
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Thisara Kethimini Sirisena, S. A. Pavani
ISBN 10: 6139820979 ISBN 13: 9786139820979
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Thisara Kethimini Sirisena, S. A. Pavani
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S. A. Pavani Thisara Kethimini Sirisena
ISBN 10: 6139820979 ISBN 13: 9786139820979
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Seller: buchversandmimpf2000, Emtmannsberg, BAYE, Germany

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Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. Neuware -Fresh coconuts are put up for the sale in Colombo coconut auction which is conducted by Coconut Development Authority. The present study was carried out with the objectives to identify the time series pattern of offered coconut quantity and selecting the best fitted model for short term and long term forecasting in Colombo coconut auction. The time series analysis methods i.e. ARIMA, Moving Average, Single and Double Exponential Smoothing were used to forecast the offered coconut quantity and the time series plots were used to identify the time series patterns like seasonal and non-seasonal,etc. in offered coconut quantity. ARIMA (0, 0, 1) (1, 1, 0) was fitted as the best ARIMA forecasting method for short term and long term forecasting. With using test data set, it was found that ARIMA (0,0,1) (1,1,0) has given the predicted values which are more close to the actual offered coconut quantities. The lowest Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) value (10.55%) was recoded in ARIMA (0, 0, 1) (1, 1, 0). It proves that ARIMA (0, 0, 1) (1, 1, 0) was the best fitted forecasting method among the other tested methods.Books on Demand GmbH, Überseering 33, 22297 Hamburg 52 pp. Englisch. Seller Inventory # 9786139820979

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