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Synopsis
Are ordinary people idiots when reasoning about risk? At the beginning of the 20th century, H G Wells predicted that statistical thinking would be as necessary for citizenship in a technological world as the ability to read and write. Yet, a century on, most of us, from weather forecasters to George W Bush, seem to have no idea of how to reason about uncertainties. Gigerenzer's book is the first to offer a treatment for the 'disease' of statistical illiteracy. Aimed at helping us understand risks in the real world, it shows how proper understading of uncertainties can make the difference between hope and despair. In tradition of the Penguins HOW TO LIE WITH STATISTICS (200,000 sold) and STATISTICS WITHOUT TEARS (150,000 sold).
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About the Author
Gerd Gigerenzer is Director of the Center for Adaptive Behaviour and Cognition in Berlin, and a former Professor of Psychology at the University of Chicago. Dan Dennett writes: "Gigerenzer is one of the smartest psychologists I know, and he's bursting with great ideas. His topic is dynamite".
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