Rethinking Armageddon; Scenario Planning in the Second Nuclear Age
Published by CSBA [Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments], Washington DC, 2016
- First Edition
- Softcover
- Used
Seller: Ground Zero Books, Ltd., Silver Spring, MD, U.S.A.Ground Zero Books, Ltd.
AbeBooks seller since August 14, 1998
Condition: Used - Very good
£ 38.98
Quantity: 1 available
Add to basketItem description from seller
Format is approximately 7.75 inches by 10 inches. vi, 132 pages. Maps. Footnotes. Table. Acronyms. Andrew Francis Krepinevich Jr. (born 13 February 1950) is a defense policy analyst who is a distinguished senior fellow at (and former longtime president of) the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments. Krepinevich graduated from West Point with a B.S. degree in 1972. He then spent 21 years as an officer in the U.S. Army, serving on the personal staff of three Defense Secretaries and in the Office of Net Assessment. Following his retirement from the army, Krepinevich assumed his current position as director of the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, a non-profit think tank focused on defense and national security issues. While at CSBA he has served on the National Defense Panel and Defense Policy Board, and advised senior military and civilian policymakers. Jacob Cohn is a Research Fellow at the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments, Mr. Cohn manages the Strategic Choices Tool and conducts research and analysis for both the Strategic Studies and the Budgetary Studies programs. His primary areas of interest concern trends in the overall defense budget and in particular the linkages between resources and strategy. His research also focuses on the utilization of scenarios and wargames to facilitate long-range strategic planning and operational concept development. Mr. Cohn has authored a number of publications on trends in the defense budget and defense acquisitions as well as case studies exploring the Second Nuclear Age. The First Nuclear Age was characterized by the Cold War era bipolar international system and a corresponding bipolar nuclear competition between the United States and the Soviet Union. While a few other states, such as Great Britain and France, also possessed nuclear arms, their arsenals were very small compared to those of the two superpowers. The world is far different today. On the one hand, both the United States and Russia have far smaller nuclear arsenals than they did at the Cold War?s end. At the same time, new nuclear powers have emerged in pace with advanced conventional precision warfare capabilities. The rise of cyber warfare has also led to concerns over the security and reliability of early warning and command-and-control systems, and weapon systems as well. Advances in the cognitive sciences and research on Cold War crisis decision-making have challenged some of our thinking as to how strategies based on deterrence work, or risk failing. Together, these and other recent developments have combined to form what some are calling a Second Nuclear Age. Dr. Andrew Krepinevich and Jacob Cohn have authored a scenario-based assessment of the competitive dynamics of the Second Nuclear Age. The assessment explores, among other things, the implications for extended deterrence, crisis stability, missile defense, prompt conventional global strike, growing multipolar or ?n-player competitions, and planning assumptions as they have been influenced by advances in the cognitive sciences, to include prospect theory. Their paper also includes an analysis of the implications for U.S. interests, with an emphasis on preserving the seventy-one-year tradition of non-use of nuclear weapons (since their only use in 1945), also known as the ?nuclear taboo.? The existing and prospective challenges posed by the Second Nuclear Age, as reflected in these scenarios, are sobering. If the United States seeks to preserve the nuclear taboo, it ignores them at its peril.…
Seller Inventory # 84596
Bibliographic details
- Title
- Rethinking Armageddon; Scenario Planning in the Second Nuclear Age
- Author
- Krepinevich, Andrew F., and Cohn, Jacob
- Publisher
- CSBA [Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments], Washington DC
- Publication year
- 2016
- Condition
- Very good
- Dust jacket
- No DJ issued
- Binding
- Trade paperback
- Edition
- Presumed First Edition, First printing.
- Seller catalogs
- Nuclear Weapons
Ground Zero Books, Ltd.
Silver Spring, MD, U.S.A.
AbeBooks seller since August 14, 1998
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