Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles : Contributions to Economic Analysis

Milas, Costas; Rothman, Philip; van Dijk, Dick

ISBN 10: 044451838X / ISBN 13: 9780444518385

Published by Elsevier Science, Amsterdam, NL, 2006

About this Item

xxiv, 436pp. Glossy printed cloth-covered boards. Bottom corners bumped. Internally neat, clean, bright and tight. 8vo.

Seller Inventory # 006023

Bibliographic Details

• Title: Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of Business Cycles : Contributions to Economic Analysis
• Publisher: Elsevier Science, Amsterdam, NL
• Publication Date: 2006
• Language: English
• ISBN 10: 044451838X
• ISBN 13: 9780444518385
• Binding: Hardcover
• Edition: 1st Edition.
• Condition: Near Fine
• Dust Jacket Condition: N/A
• Seller catalogs:
  • Business, Management, Human Resources and Emplo...

About this title

Synopsis

The business cycle has long been the focus of empirical economic research. Until recently statistical analysis of macroeconomic fluctuations was dominated by linear time series methods. Over the past 15 years, however, economists have increasingly applied tractable parametric nonlinear time series models to business cycle data; most prominent in this set of models are the classes of Threshold AutoRegressive (TAR) models, Markov-Switching AutoRegressive (MSAR) models, and Smooth Transition AutoRegressive (STAR) models. In doing so, several important questions have been addressed in the literature, including: Do out-of-sample (point, interval, density, and turning point) forecasts obtained with nonlinear time series models dominate those generated with linear models? How should business cycles be dated and measured? What is the response of output and employment to oil-price and monetary shocks? How does monetary policy respond to asymmetries over the business cycle? Are business cycles due more to permanent or to transitory negative shocks? And, is the business cycle asymmetric, and does it matter? "Contributions to Economic Analysis" was established in 1952. The series purpose is to stimulate the international exchange of scientific information. The series includes books from all areas of macroeconomics and microeconomics.