Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
ISBN 10: 0691027919 ISBN 13: 9780691027913
Language: English
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Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
ISBN 10: 0691027919 ISBN 13: 9780691027913
Language: English
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Published by Princeton University Press, Princeton, NJ, 1996
ISBN 10: 0691027919 ISBN 13: 9780691027913
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Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
ISBN 10: 0691027919 ISBN 13: 9780691027913
Language: English
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Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
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Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
ISBN 10: 0691027919 ISBN 13: 9780691027913
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Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
ISBN 10: 0691027919 ISBN 13: 9780691027913
Language: English
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Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
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Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
ISBN 10: 0691027919 ISBN 13: 9780691027913
Language: English
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Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
ISBN 10: 0691027919 ISBN 13: 9780691027913
Language: English
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Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
ISBN 10: 0691027919 ISBN 13: 9780691027913
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Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
ISBN 10: 0691027919 ISBN 13: 9780691027913
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Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
ISBN 10: 0691027919 ISBN 13: 9780691027913
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Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
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Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
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Add to basketCondition: New. Proposes a set of criteria for distinguishing plausible from implausible counterfactual conjectures across a range of applications. This volume makes use of these and other criteria to evaluate counterfactuals that emerge in diverse methodological contexts .
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Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
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Published by Princeton University Press, New Jersey, 1996
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Add to basketPaperback. Condition: new. Paperback. Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at applying hypothetical reasoning to world politics, the contributors to this volume--including James Fearon, Richard Lebow, Margaret Levi, Bruce Russett, and Barry Weingast--find such counterfactual conjectures not only useful, but necessary for drawing causal inferences from historical data. Given the importance of counterfactuals, it is perhaps surprising that we lack standards for evaluating them. To fill this gap, Philip Tetlock and Aaron Belkin propose a set of criteria for distinguishing plausible from implausible counterfactual conjectures across a wide range of applications. The contributors to this volume make use of these and other criteria to evaluate counterfactuals that emerge in diverse methodological contexts including comparative case studies, game theory, and statistical analysis.Taken together, these essays go a long way toward establishing a more nuanced and rigorous framework for assessing counterfactual arguments about world politics in particular and about the social sciences more broadly. Proposes a set of criteria for distinguishing plausible from implausible counterfactual conjectures across a range of applications. This volume makes use of these and other criteria to evaluate counterfactuals that emerge in diverse methodological contexts including comparative case studies, game theory, and statistical analysis. Shipping may be from our UK warehouse or from our Australian or US warehouses, depending on stock availability.
Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
ISBN 10: 0691027919 ISBN 13: 9780691027913
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Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
ISBN 10: 0691027919 ISBN 13: 9780691027913
Language: English
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Add to basketTaschenbuch. Condition: Neu. nach der Bestellung gedruckt Neuware - Printed after ordering - Political scientists often ask themselves what might have been if history had unfolded differently: if Stalin had been ousted as General Party Secretary or if the United States had not dropped the bomb on Japan. Although scholars sometimes scoff at applying hypothetical reasoning to world politics, the contributors to this volume--including James Fearon, Richard Lebow, Margaret Levi, Bruce Russett, and Barry Weingast--find such counterfactual conjectures not only useful, but necessary for drawing causal inferences from historical data. Given the importance of counterfactuals, it is perhaps surprising that we lack standards for evaluating them. To fill this gap, Philip Tetlock and Aaron Belkin propose a set of criteria for distinguishing plausible from implausible counterfactual conjectures across a wide range of applications.The contributors to this volume make use of these and other criteria to evaluate counterfactuals that emerge in diverse methodological contexts including comparative case studies, game theory, and statistical analysis. Taken together, these essays go a long way toward establishing a more nuanced and rigorous framework for assessing counterfactual arguments about world politics in particular and about the social sciences more broadly.