Uncertainty Analysis in Engineering and Sciences: Fuzzy Logic, Statistics, and Neural Network Approach

Madan M. Gupta

ISBN 10: 0792380304 / ISBN 13: 9780792380306

Published by Springer US, Springer US, 1997

About this Item

Druck auf Anfrage Neuware - Printed after ordering - Uncertainty has been of concern to engineers, managers and . scientists for many centuries. In management sciences there have existed definitions of uncertainty in a rather narrow sense since the beginning of this century. In engineering and uncertainty has for a long time been considered as in sciences, however, synonymous with random, stochastic, statistic, or probabilistic. Only since the early sixties views on uncertainty have ~ecome more heterogeneous and more tools to model uncertainty than statistics have been proposed by several scientists. The problem of modeling uncertainty adequately has become more important the more complex systems have become, the faster the scientific and engineering world develops, and the more important, but also more difficult, forecasting of future states of systems have become. The first question one should probably ask is whether uncertainty is a phenomenon, a feature of real world systems, a state of mind or a label for a situation in which a human being wants to make statements about phenomena, i. e. , reality, models, and theories, respectively. One cart also ask whether uncertainty is an objective fact or just a subjective impression which is closely related to individual persons. Whether uncertainty is an objective feature of physical real systems seems to be a philosophical question. This shall not be answered in this volume. Seller Inventory # 9780792380306

Bibliographic Details

Title: Uncertainty Analysis in Engineering and ...

Publisher: Springer US, Springer US

Publication Date: 1997

Binding: Buch

Condition: Neu

About this title

Synopsis:

Uncertainty has been of concern to engineers, managers and . scientists for many centuries. In management sciences there have existed definitions of uncertainty in a rather narrow sense since the beginning of this century. In engineering and uncertainty has for a long time been considered as in sciences, however, synonymous with random, stochastic, statistic, or probabilistic. Only since the early sixties views on uncertainty have ~ecome more heterogeneous and more tools to model uncertainty than statistics have been proposed by several scientists. The problem of modeling uncertainty adequately has become more important the more complex systems have become, the faster the scientific and engineering world develops, and the more important, but also more difficult, forecasting of future states of systems have become. The first question one should probably ask is whether uncertainty is a phenomenon, a feature of real world systems, a state of mind or a label for a situation in which a human being wants to make statements about phenomena, i. e. , reality, models, and theories, respectively. One cart also ask whether uncertainty is an objective fact or just a subjective impression which is closely related to individual persons. Whether uncertainty is an objective feature of physical real systems seems to be a philosophical question. This shall not be answered in this volume.

Synopsis:

This text examines the use of analytical tools developed for studying uncertainty analysis in engineering, control systems, and the sciences. It is the work of 38 contributors who have each written chapters on developed analytical methods - fuzzy logic, neural networks, simulation, and Bayesian techniques - and have applied them to uncertainty phenomena arising out of information and knowledge problems in the fields of engineering and the sciences. The book is divided into the following parts : part I reports the theoretical studies on uncertainty types, models and measures; part II reviews the applications of uncertain theoretical tools to engineering systems; part III describes the methodologies of fuzzy-neural data analysis and forecasting; part IV presents two chapters on fuzzy-neuro systems; and part V describes the methodologies for fuzzy decision making and optimization and their computational methods. The editors also provide a concluding chapter on uncertainty and uncertainty modelling.