Trusting Judgements (Paperback)
Language: English
Published by Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2015
- Softcover
- New
Seller: Grand Eagle Retail, Bensenville, IL, U.S.A.Grand Eagle Retail
AbeBooks seller since October 12, 2005
Condition: New
£ 38.85
Quantity: 1 available
Add to basketItem description from seller
Paperback. Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry constantly face important decisions without full knowledge of all the facts. They rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. There are unprecedented opportunities for experts to influence decisions. Yet even the most experienced can be over-confident and error-prone, and the hidden risk is that scientists and other experts can over-reach, often with good intentions, placing more weight on the evidence they provide than is warranted. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, explains why group judgements outperform individual estimates, and provides an accessible and up-to-date guide to the science of expert judgement. Finally, and importantly, it outlines a simple, practical framework that will help policy- and decision-makers to ensure that the advice that they receive is relatively reliable and accurate, thus substantially improving the quality of information on which critical decisions are made. Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. Yet even the best experts can be over-confident and error-prone. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, and how to ensure expert advice is relatively reliable and accurate. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability.…
Seller Inventory # 9781107531024
- Title
- Trusting Judgements (Paperback)
- Author
- Mark A. Burgman
- Publisher
- Cambridge University Press, Cambridge
- Publication year
- 2015
- Condition
- new
- Binding
- Paperback
- Language
- English
- ISBN 10
- 1107531020
- ISBN 13
- 9781107531024
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Grand Eagle Retail
Bensenville, IL, U.S.A.
AbeBooks seller since October 12, 2005
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