Risk Thinking : .In an Uncertain World
Language: English
Published by Author Solutions Inc Jul 2021, 2021
- Softcover
- New
Seller: AHA-BUCH GmbH, Einbeck, GermanyAHA-BUCH GmbH
AbeBooks seller since August 14, 2006
Condition: New
£ 30.75
Quantity: 2 available
Add to basketItem description from seller
Neuware - Risk Thinking is a book about codifying common sense in a world of radical uncertainty. Our brains are wired to think forward, to imagine future situations, and to plan for the unknown. It is an ability engrained in our genetic software, but corporations and governments continue to rely on flawed forecasting to try and predict the unpredictable. This book advocates a new, more realistic approach to analyzing risk and strategizing-one that is less reliant on a single solution or unnuanced forecast. The approach is forward looking and accounts for the extreme events that may occur, and often do. It is one that uses the wisdom of a diverse set of experts whose views may be used to span the range of possible future events. They help us look for the situations that we cannot see, where the light does not shine. We use them to handle the radical uncertainty we face from climate change, pandemics, cyber and other radical risks. Risk Thinking gets us away from forecasting, which we know does not work as uncertainty becomes more extreme. It is as useful in everyday life as it is to make crucial decisions in business or government. This century is one of radical uncertainty. We hope risk thinking will enter the lexicon of all those whose decisions and strategy affect our lives.…
Seller Inventory # 9781665707015
- Title
- Risk Thinking : .In an Uncertain World
- Author
- Ron S Dembo
- Publisher
- Author Solutions Inc Jul 2021
- Publication year
- 2021
- Condition
- Neu
- Binding
- Taschenbuch
- Language
- English
- ISBN 10
- 1665707011
- ISBN 13
- 9781665707015
- Item weight
- 393 grams
- Dimensions
- 216x140x17 mm
Our age of radical uncertainty requires a new way of assessing risk that pays more attention to the extreme outliers that too often become tomorrow's reality.
Today's models cannot cope with the frightening new unpredictable risks we face every day that frequently seem to come out of left field - the effects of climate change, a killer pandemic, a cascading wildfire, a financial crisis triggered by faceless algorithms, or a devastating cyber-attack that shuts down the electric power grid.
This accessible book advocates a new, more realistic approach to analyzing risk and strategizing-one that is less reliant on a single solution or unnuanced forecast. They help us look for the almost unimaginable situations that we cannot see.
The book targets non-technical and technical individuals who are faced with complex decisions. Here is what some thought leaders are saying about "Risk Thinking."
"Had we central bankers employed Dembo's risk thinking approach and analytical tools we could have avoided the Great Financial Crisis." David Dodge, former Governor of the Bank of Canada
"A provocative and clear manual for anyone trying to assess risks today" -Gillian Tett, Financial Times, Editorial Board and Editor-at-large, U.S.
"Enjoy this book. It is insightfully written, fun to read and assess risks to navigating our uncertain future" -Col Chris Hadfield, engineer, test pilot and astronaut. Formerly Commander of the International Space Station, and Nasa Director of Operations in Russia.
"We can all think of major recent failures to manage risk: in the economy, financial services, health care and climate change....as the world becomes more complex, managing risk will become more important and more difficult. This book provides an effective and refreshingly practical framework for addressing this challenge". -Mike Pedersen, Chairman Business Development Bank of Canada, Former President at and CEO, TD Bank, America's Most Convenient Bank.
In Risk Thinking, Ron Dembo gives the reader tools to unravel the mysteries of risk in an accessible and eloquent way. This is a must read for any strategic thinker and emerging leader looking to thrive in an uncertain world." Dr. Phil De Luna, Carbontech Innovator and selected as one of Forbes 30 Under 30.
"Synopsis" may belong to another edition of this title.
About the Author
Ron S. Dembo has been an Associate Professor at Yale, visiting professor at MIT, consultant to Goldman Sachs and other large corporations and banks, and author. He founded Algorithmics, which he grew to become the largest supplier of enterprise financial risk systems to banks before it was sold to Fitch and then IBM. He has published many articles in scientific journals and is the author of numerous patents worldwide. He was made a lifetime fellow of The Fields Institute of Mathematics in 2007 for his contribution to Canadian mathematics and has received many awards for his work in optimization, risk management and climate change. He is the founder and CEO of Riskthinking.AI, which produces data and analytics for measuring climate related financial risk.
"About the title" may belong to another edition of this title.
Shipping rates from Germany to U.S.A.
| Item | 7 to 10 business days | 5 to 7 business days |
|---|---|---|
| First item | £ 29.62 | £ 38.08 |
Payment methods
- Bank Wire Transfer
- Check
- Paypal
Store description
Das Unternehmen AHA-BUCH GmbH: Seit der Gründung von AHA-BUCH im Juli 2005 ist unser Hauptziel, zufriedenen Kunden so schnell und so preisgünstig wie möglich ihren Bücherwunsch zu erfüllen. Unsere Firma beschäftigt 16 Mitarbeiter, die nur ein Ziel kennen: den Kunden und seine Wünsche! Auf über 3700 m2 Fläche haben wir über 100.000 Bücher, Modernes Antiquariat und Spiele auf Lager.
Specialty
Kinderbücher & Kinderhör Casetten, German Books, Software, Natur & Tiere, Ratgeber, Sachbücher, Englische Bücher, Medizin & Gesundheit, Universität & StudiumSeller's business information
AHA-BUCH GmbH
Garlebsen 48
Einbeck, Germany 37574
Terms of sale
Imprint
Seller Info:
AHA-BUCH GmbH
represented by the managing director Christel Glass
Garlebsen 48
37574 Einbeck
Deutschland
Telefon: 055639996039
Telefax: 055639995974
E-Mail: abebooks@aha-buch.de
USt-IdNr.: DE261904229
registered at Commercial register Amtsgerichtes Göttingen
Handelsregisternummer HRB 200691
Alternative dispute resolution:
The European Commission provides a platform for out-of-court online dispute resolution (ODR platform), which can be accessed under https://ec.europa.eu/odr.
We have been a member of the "FairCommerce" initiative since 25.05.2018.
For more information, see www.fair-commerce.de.
Right of withdrawal
If you are a consumer you can withdraw from the contract in accordance with the following. Consumer means any natural person who is acting for purposes which are outside his trade, business, craft or profession.
Information regarding the right of withdrawal
Statutory right to withdraw
You have the right to withdraw from this contract within 14 days without giving any reason.
The withdrawal period will expire after 14 days from the day on which you acquire, or a third party other than the carrier and indicated by you acquires, physical possession of the last good or the last lot or piece.
To exercise the right of withdrawal, electronically fill in and submit a clear statement on our website, under "My Purchases" in "My Account". We will communicate to you an acknowledgement of receipt of such a withdrawal on a durable medium (e.g. by e-mail) without delay.
To meet the withdrawal deadline, it is sufficient for you to send your communication concerning your exercise of the right of withdrawal before the withdrawal period has expired.
Effects of withdrawal
If you withdraw from this contract, we will reimburse to you all payments received from you, including the costs of delivery (except for the supplementary costs arising if you chose a type of delivery other than the least expensive type of standard delivery offered by us).
We may make a deduction from the reimbursement for loss in value of any goods supplied, if the loss is the result of unnecessary handling by you.
We will make the reimbursement without undue delay, and not later than 14 days after the day on which we are informed about your decision to withdraw from this contract.
We will make the reimbursement using the same means of payment as you used for the initial transaction, unless you have expressly agreed otherwise; in any event, you will not incur any fees as a result of such reimbursement.
We may withhold reimbursement until we have received the goods back, or you have supplied evidence of having sent back the goods, whichever is the earliest.
You shall send back the goods or hand them over to AHA-BUCH GmbH, Einbeck, Germany, without undue delay and in any event not later than 14 days from the day on which you communicate your withdrawal from this contract to us. The deadline is met if you send back the goods before the period of 14 days has expired. You will have to bear the direct cost of returning the goods. You are only liable for any diminished value of the goods resulting from the handling other than what is necessary to establish the nature, characteristics and functioning of the goods.
Exceptions to the right of withdrawal
The right of withdrawal does not apply to:
- The delivery of newspapers, journals or magazines with the exception of subscription contracts; and
- The supply of digital content which is not supplied on a tangible medium (e.g. on a CD or DVD) if you accepted when you placed your order that we could start to deliver it, and that you could not withdraw once delivery had started.
Shipping terms
We ship your order after we received them
for articles on hand latest 24 hours,
for articles with overnight supply latest 48 hours.
In case we need to order an article from our supplier our dispatch time depends on the reception date of the articles, but the articles will be shipped on the same day.
Our goal is to send the ordered articles in the fastest, but also most efficient and secure way to our customers.