Predicting the Pandemic Shock. A Geopolitical-Financial Composite Index for Early Warning and Mitigation of Critical Medical Supply Stock-Outs

Language: English

Published by GRIN Verlag, GRIN Verlag Dez 2025, 2025

3389173986 / 9783389173985

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Softcover

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This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware -Seminar paper from the year 2024 in the subject Health - Health Sciences, grade: 3.58 (very good), University of Washington, course: Global Health, language: English, abstract: This research tackles a key weakness in global medical supply chains revealed by the COVID-19 pandemic. It creates a new Geopolitical-Financial Composite Index (GFCI) to act as an early-warning system. The study moves past old, reactive models by combining different risk indicators like political instability, financial swings, trade policy changes, and shipping performance into a single score. We built this index using principal component analysis and tested its accuracy against real data from the 2020-2023 crisis period. The results show the GFCI reliably signals coming shortages of medical supplies about three months in advance. This was confirmed by strong statistical correlations and ROC analysis. The final output is a practical Early-Warning and Mitigation Framework that turns GFCI alerts into specific actions, like finding new suppliers or building up reserves. This work provides policymakers and health organizations with a proactive, data-driven tool to build stronger supply chains and better prepare for future pandemics.Books on Demand GmbH, Überseering 33, 22297 Hamburg 48 pp. Englisch.…

Seller Inventory # 9783389173985

Title
Predicting the Pandemic Shock. A Geopolitical-Financial Composite Index for Early Warning and Mitigation of Critical Medical Supply Stock-Outs
Author
Olamide Omotosho
Publisher
GRIN Verlag, GRIN Verlag Dez 2025
Publication year
2025
Condition
Neu
Binding
Taschenbuch
Language
English
ISBN 10
3389173986
ISBN 13
9783389173985
Item weight
84 grams
Dimensions
210x148x4 mm

buchversandmimpf2000

Emtmannsberg, BAYE, Germany

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