Predictability of Complex Dynamical Systems (Paperback)

Yurii A. Kravtsov

ISBN 10: 3642802567 / ISBN 13: 9783642802560

Published by Springer-Verlag Berlin and Heidelberg GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin, 2012

About this Item

Paperback. This book was originally conceived as a continuation in theme of the collec- tive monograph Limits of Predictability (Yu. A. Kravtsov, Ed. , Springer Series in Synergetics, Vol. 60, Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg, 1993). The main thrust of that book was to examine the various effects and factors (system non- stationarity, measurement noise, predictive model accuracy, and so on) that may limit, in a fundamental fashion, our ability to mathematically predict physical and man-made phenomena and events. Particularly interesting was the diversity of fields from which the papers and examples were drawn, in- cluding climatology, physics, biophysics, cybernetics, synergetics, sociology, and ethnogenesis. Twelve prominant Russian scientists, and one American (Prof. A. J. Lichtman) discussed their philosophical and scientific standpoints on the problem of the limits of predictability in their various fields. During the preparation of that book, the editor (Yu. A. K) had the great pleasure of interacting with world-renowned Russian scientists such as oceanologist A. S. Monin, geophysicist V. I. Keilis-Borok, sociologist I. V. Bestuzhev-Lada, histo- rian L. N. Gumilev, to name a few. Dr.Angela M. Lahee, managing editor of the Synergetics Series at Springer, was enormously helpful in the publishing of that book. In 1992, Prof. H. Haken along with Dr. Lahee kindly supported the idea of publishing a second volume on the theme of nonlinear system predictability, this time with a more international flavor. This book addresses researchers and practitioners interested in modeling, prediction and forecasting of natural systems based on nonlinear dynamics. It is a practical guide to data analysis and to the development of algorithms especially for complex systems presenting topics like characterization of nonlinear correlations in data as dynamical systems, reconstruction of dynamical models from data, nonlinear noise reduction and the limits of predicatability. The authors consider practical problems from e.g. signal and time series analysis, biomedical data analysis, financial analysis, stochastic modeling, human evolution, and political modeling. They give new methods for nonlinear filtering of complex signals and new algorithms for signal classification, and the concept of the "Global Brain". Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability.

Seller Inventory # 9783642802560

Bibliographic Details

• Title: Predictability of Complex Dynamical Systems (Paperback)
• Publisher: Springer-Verlag Berlin and Heidelberg GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin
• Publication Date: 2012
• Language: English
• ISBN 10: 3642802567
• ISBN 13: 9783642802560
• Binding: Paperback
• Condition: new

About this title

Synopsis

This book was originally conceived as a continuation in theme of the collec- tive monograph Limits of Predictability (Yu. A. Kravtsov, Ed. , Springer Series in Synergetics, Vol. 60, Springer-Verlag, Heidelberg, 1993). The main thrust of that book was to examine the various effects and factors (system non- stationarity, measurement noise, predictive model accuracy, and so on) that may limit, in a fundamental fashion, our ability to mathematically predict physical and man-made phenomena and events. Particularly interesting was the diversity of fields from which the papers and examples were drawn, in- cluding climatology, physics, biophysics, cybernetics, synergetics, sociology, and ethnogenesis. Twelve prominant Russian scientists, and one American (Prof. A. J. Lichtman) discussed their philosophical and scientific standpoints on the problem of the limits of predictability in their various fields. During the preparation of that book, the editor (Yu. A. K) had the great pleasure of interacting with world-renowned Russian scientists such as oceanologist A. S. Monin, geophysicist V. I. Keilis-Borok, sociologist I. V. Bestuzhev-Lada, histo- rian L. N. Gumilev, to name a few. Dr. Angela M. Lahee, managing editor of the Synergetics Series at Springer, was enormously helpful in the publishing of that book. In 1992, Prof. H. Haken along with Dr. Lahee kindly supported the idea of publishing a second volume on the theme of nonlinear system predictability, this time with a more international flavor.

From the Back Cover

This is a book book for researchers and practitioners interested in modeling, prediction and forecasting of natural systems based on nonlinear dynamics. It is a practical guide to data analysis and to the development of algorithms, especially for complex systems. Topics such as the characterization of nonlinear correlations in data as dynamical systems, reconstruction of dynamical models from data, nonlinear noise reduction and the limits of predicatability are discussed. The chapters are written by leading experts and consider practical problems such as signal and time series analysis, biomedical data analysis, financial analysis, stochastic modeling, human evolution, and political modeling. The book includes new methods for nonlinear filtering of complex signals, new algorithms for signal classification, and the concept of the "Global Brain".