A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections

Language: English

Published by Springer, Springer Netherlands Jan 2014, 2014

9400775504 / 9789400775503

Series: Book 26 of 42 - The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis

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This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware -This book focuses on the methodology and analysis of state and local population projections. It describes the most commonly used data sources and application techniques for four types of projection methods: cohort-component, trend extrapolation, structural models, and microsimulation. It covers the components of population growth, sources of data, the formation of assumptions, the development of evaluation criteria, and the determinants of forecast accuracy. It considers the strengths and weaknesses of various projection methods and pays special attention to the unique problems that characterize small-area projections. The authors provide practical guidance to demographers, planners, market analysts, and others called on to construct state and local population projections. They use many examples and illustrations and present suggestions for dealing with special populations, unique circumstances, and inadequate or unreliable data. They describe techniques for controlling one set of projections to another, for interpolating between time points, for sub-dividing age groups, and for constructing projections of population-related variables (e.g., school enrollment, households). They discuss the role of judgment and the importance of the political context in which projections are made. They emphasize the ¿utility¿ of projections, or their usefulness for decision making in a world of competing demands and limited resources. This comprehensive book will provide readers with an understanding not only of the mechanics of the most commonly used population projection methods, but also of the many complex issues affecting their construction, interpretation, evaluation, and use.¿Springer-Verlag GmbH, Tiergartenstr. 17, 69121 Heidelberg 428 pp. Englisch.…

Seller Inventory # 9789400775503

Title
A Practitioner's Guide to State and Local Population Projections
Author
Stanley K. Smith
Publisher
Springer, Springer Netherlands Jan 2014
Publication year
2014
Condition
Neu
Binding
Buch
Language
English
ISBN 10
9400775504
ISBN 13
9789400775503
Item weight
805 grams
Dimensions
241x160x29 mm
Series
Book 26 of 42: The Springer Series on Demographic Methods and Population Analysis

buchversandmimpf2000

Emtmannsberg, BAYE, Germany

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