Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies

Language: English

Published by National Academies Press Feb 2010, 2010

0309116600 / 9780309116602

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Neuware - Technological innovations are key causal agents of surprise and disruption. In the recent past, the United States military has encountered unexpected challenges in the battlefield due in part to the adversary's incorporation of technologies not traditionally associated with weaponry. Recognizing the need to broaden the scope of current technology forecasting efforts, the Office of the Director, Defense Research and Engineering (DDR&E) and the Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA) tasked the Committee for Forecasting Future Disruptive Technologies with providing guidance and insight on how to build a persistent forecasting system to predict, analyze, and reduce the impact of the most dramatically disruptive technologies. The first of two reports, this volume analyzes existing forecasting methods and processes. It then outlines the necessary characteristics of a comprehensive forecasting system that integrates data from diverse sources to identify potentially game-changing technological innovations and facilitates informed decision making by policymakers. The committee's goal was to help the reader understand current forecasting methodologies, the nature of disruptive technologies and the characteristics of a persistent forecasting system for disruptive technology. Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies is a useful text for the Department of Defense, Homeland Security, the Intelligence community and other defense agencies across the nation.…

Seller Inventory # 9780309116602

Title
Persistent Forecasting of Disruptive Technologies
Author
National Research Council
Publisher
National Academies Press Feb 2010
Publication year
2010
Condition
Neu
Binding
Taschenbuch
Language
English
ISBN 10
0309116600
ISBN 13
9780309116602
Item weight
435 grams
Dimensions
279x212x12 mm

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