Pairs Trading : A Bayesian Example

J Richard Hollos

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Language: English

Published by Amazon Digital Services LLC - Kdp Aug 2012, 2012

1887187154 / 9781887187152

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Seller: AHA-BUCH GmbH, Einbeck, GermanyAHA-BUCH GmbH

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Neuware - Have you ever wondered whether Bayesian analysis can be applied toward the stock market We did, and set out to investigate.This book shows you how to find relationships between stocks or exchange traded funds (ETFs) using Bayesian analysis.A relationship that most traders are probably familiar with is linear correlation. This is sometimes used as the basis for pairs trading. But linear correlation is just one way that stocks or ETFs can be related.The analysis we present in this book can be used to exploit almost any kind of relationship that may exist between stocks or ETFs. The book will show how to calculate the probability of a stock or ETF ending the day up or down based on what other stocks or ETFs are doing.A probability is more useful than a simple up or down signal. It quantifies the certainty of a prediction and allows a trader to take a position consistent with a given level of risk.Any active trader should find the techniques presented in this book useful. We are only going to examine the relationships in one small group of ETFs as an example of what is possible but the same techniques will work for any set of stocks, ETFs, or even bonds.The tool we use to calculate the probability of a positive or negative return on a stock or ETF is called a Bayesian classifier. It is called a classifier because it calculates probabilities for only two discrete outcomes: positive or negative.The method we use to calculate these probabilities is called Bayes' Theorem.

Seller Inventory # 9781887187152

Title
Pairs Trading : A Bayesian Example
Author
J Richard Hollos
Publisher
Amazon Digital Services LLC - Kdp Aug 2012
Publication year
2012
Condition
Neu
Binding
Taschenbuch
Language
English
ISBN 10
1887187154
ISBN 13
9781887187152
Item weight
123 grams
Dimensions
216x142x7 mm

AHA-BUCH GmbH

Einbeck, Germany

5-star seller

AbeBooks seller since August 14, 2006

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