Multivariate Analysis to get an Estimate of the Indian Stock Market Nifty Index

Language: English

Published by GRIN Verlag, GRIN Verlag Nov 2011, 2011

3656063850 / 9783656063858

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This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware -Research Paper (postgraduate) from the year 2011 in the subject Business economics - Banking, Stock Exchanges, Insurance, Accounting, grade: 1, , language: English, abstract: The Indian stock market S and P CNX Nifty Index (Nifty) is a well diversified index of 50 companies. Foreign Institutional Investors (FII¿s), wield significant influence over daily trading volumes in both the spot and derivative segments in the Indian markets. This tends to impact market volatility and returns. This study attempted to study the effect of FII transaction amounts, derivative turn over amounts and volatility on the performance of the Nifty index. A strong correlation was observed between derivative turnover and the Nifty but the correlation was relatively weaker between the Nifty and FII transaction amounts and Volatility. FII and F&O activity established important tops ahead of major tops in the Nifty. Volatility remained low during periods of significant upside in the stock market but spiked up during market declines. Linear and Non-linear models using multivariate analysis were fit to estimate the Nifty from the respective independent variables. A non linear model involving all three variables provided the best fit and the least deviation from actual values suggesting that interplay of these and other factors drive the performance of the index.Keywords: Nifty, FII transaction amounts, F&O turnover, Volatility, Nifty forecasting, Linear and Non Linear Models.Books on Demand GmbH, Überseering 33, 22297 Hamburg 24 pp. Englisch.…

Title
Multivariate Analysis to get an Estimate of the Indian Stock Market Nifty Index
Author
Rajveer Rawlin
Publisher
GRIN Verlag, GRIN Verlag Nov 2011
Publication year
2011
Condition
Neu
Binding
Taschenbuch
Language
English
ISBN 10
3656063850
ISBN 13
9783656063858
Item weight
51 grams
Dimensions
210x148x3 mm

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