Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections
Language: English
Published by Springer, 2014
Series: Book 11 of 99 - SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science
- Softcover
- New
Seller: Books Puddle, Woodside, NY, U.S.A.Books Puddle
AbeBooks seller since November 22, 2018
Condition: New
£ 67.82
Quantity: 4 available
Add to basketItem description from seller
pp. 68.
Seller Inventory # 2698178093
- Title
- Modelling Potential Malaria Spread in Germany by Use of Climate Change Projections
- Author
- Gunther Schmidt Winfried Schroder
- Publisher
- Springer
- Publication year
- 2014
- Condition
- New
- Binding
- Soft cover
- Language
- English
- ISBN 10
- 3319038222
- ISBN 13
- 9783319038223
- Series
- Book 11 of 99: SpringerBriefs in Environmental Science
This volume on a high-profile modern issue presents a sophisticated, integrated risk assessment approach to modeling the potential return of malaria to Germany, which could be triggered by the higher temperatures resulting from global climate change.
"Synopsis" may belong to another edition of this title.
From the Back Cover
One of the most troubling and dangerous effects of climate warming is the potential for new outbreaks of vector-borne diseases – in humans as well as livestock – that had previously been eradicated, or at least effectively suppressed. One such threat is malaria. Although it is often believed to be restricted to the tropics and developing countries, climate change could bring malaria back to Europe, especially into countries where it was present until the middle of the last century, such as Germany, where Tertian malaria or vivax malaria, a rather severe form of malaria, was prevalent in north-western parts of the country until the 1950s, when it was eradicated. The vector itself, the mosquito (Anopheles atroparvus), is still present, and infected people from malarial regions could introduce a new onset of malaria.
This book investigates the spatial distribution of potential temperature-driven malaria transmissions, using the basic reproduction rate (R0) to model the reproduction of the malaria pathogen Plasmodium vivax. The authors mapped areas at risk of an outbreak of tertian malaria in the federal state of Lower Saxony (pre-study) and for whole Germany (main-study) by means of geostatistics for past (1947-2007) and future periods. Projections based on predicted monthly mean air temperature data derived from the IPCC and regionally discriminated by two regional climate models (REMO, WettReg) for the countrywide study.
The transmitted parasites usually benefit from increased temperatures as both their reproductive and development cycles are accelerated. The resulting maps show that the seasonal transmission gate may be extended from an average of 3 months under present temperature conditions to up to 6 months in the climate reference period 2051-2080. Although models described in this book do not integrate such other driving factors as the distribution of water bodies serving as breeding habitats, or population density, the findingsilluminated here could prove useful for establishing a monitoring scheme and for investigation and assessment of related diseases caused by temperature-dependent vectors and pathogens, including many which are dangerous for livestock.
"About the title" may belong to another edition of this title.
Books Puddle
Woodside, NY, U.S.A.
AbeBooks seller since November 22, 2018
Shipping rates within U.S.A.
| Item | 12 to 19 business days | 12 to 14 business days |
|---|---|---|
| First item | £ 3.01 | £ 5.27 |
Payment methods
Store description
I mainly carry imported books from South East Asia / South Asia for readers of all Age Groups.
Specialty
South Asian and South East Asian Culture, Religion, Art etcSeller's business information
PLETOS INC
6931 51st Avenue, WOODSIDE
Woodside, NY U.S.A. 11377
Terms of sale
We accept return for those books which are received damamged. Though we take appropriate care in packaing to avoid such situation.
Right of withdrawal
If you are a consumer you can withdraw from the contract in accordance with the following. Consumer means any natural person who is acting for purposes which are outside his trade, business, craft or profession.
Information regarding the right of withdrawal
Statutory right to withdraw
You have the right to withdraw from this contract within 14 days without giving any reason.
The withdrawal period will expire after 14 days from the day on which you acquire, or a third party other than the carrier and indicated by you acquires, physical possession of the last good or the last lot or piece.
To exercise the right of withdrawal, electronically fill in and submit a clear statement on our website, under "My Purchases" in "My Account". We will communicate to you an acknowledgement of receipt of such a withdrawal on a durable medium (e.g. by e-mail) without delay.
To meet the withdrawal deadline, it is sufficient for you to send your communication concerning your exercise of the right of withdrawal before the withdrawal period has expired.
Effects of withdrawal
If you withdraw from this contract, we will reimburse to you all payments received from you, including the costs of delivery (except for the supplementary costs arising if you chose a type of delivery other than the least expensive type of standard delivery offered by us).
We may make a deduction from the reimbursement for loss in value of any goods supplied, if the loss is the result of unnecessary handling by you.
We will make the reimbursement without undue delay, and not later than 14 days after the day on which we are informed about your decision to withdraw from this contract.
We will make the reimbursement using the same means of payment as you used for the initial transaction, unless you have expressly agreed otherwise; in any event, you will not incur any fees as a result of such reimbursement.
We may withhold reimbursement until we have received the goods back, or you have supplied evidence of having sent back the goods, whichever is the earliest.
You shall send back the goods or hand them over to Books Puddle, Woodside, New York, U.S.A., without undue delay and in any event not later than 14 days from the day on which you communicate your withdrawal from this contract to us. The deadline is met if you send back the goods before the period of 14 days has expired. You will have to bear the direct cost of returning the goods. You are only liable for any diminished value of the goods resulting from the handling other than what is necessary to establish the nature, characteristics and functioning of the goods.
Exceptions to the right of withdrawal
The right of withdrawal does not apply to:
- The delivery of newspapers, journals or magazines with the exception of subscription contracts; and
- The supply of digital content which is not supplied on a tangible medium (e.g. on a CD or DVD) if you accepted when you placed your order that we could start to deliver it, and that you could not withdraw once delivery had started.