Forecasting Economic Time Series

Language: English

Published by Cambridge University Press, 1998

0521634806 / 9780521634809

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Seller: AHA-BUCH GmbH, Einbeck, GermanyAHA-BUCH GmbH

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Druck auf Anfrage Neuware - Printed after ordering - This book provides a formal analysis of the models, procedures, and measures of economic forecasting with a view to improving forecasting practice. David Hendry and Michael Clements base the analyses on assumptions pertinent to the economies to be forecast, viz. a non-constant, evolving economic system, and econometric models whose form and structure are unknown a priori. The authors find that conclusions which can be established formally for constant-parameter stationary processes and correctly-specified models often do not hold when unrealistic assumptions are relaxed. Despite the difficulty of proceeding formally when models are mis-specified in unknown ways for non-stationary processes that are subject to structural breaks, Hendry and Clements show that significant insights can be gleaned. For example, a formal taxonomy of forecasting errors can be developed, the role of causal information clarified, intercept corrections re-established as a method for achieving robustness against forms of structural change, and measures of forecast accuracy re-interpreted.…

Seller Inventory # 9780521634809

Title
Forecasting Economic Time Series
Author
David Hendry
Publisher
Cambridge University Press
Publication year
1998
Condition
Neu
Binding
Taschenbuch
Language
English
ISBN 10
0521634806
ISBN 13
9780521634809
Item weight
635 grams
Dimensions
229x152x23 mm

AHA-BUCH GmbH

Einbeck, Germany

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