Exchange Rate Pass-through to CPI and Inflation in Caucasian Countries : Measuring effect of Exchange rate on CPI inflation by using VAR method

Language: English

Published by LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing, 2012

3848430819 / 9783848430819

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nach der Bestellung gedruckt Neuware - Printed after ordering - Objective of this study is to analyze exchange rate pass-through in transitional, Caucasian countries. To perform proper analysis several equations must be estimated simultaneously, which nominates Vector Auto Regression as the best method for this study. Illustration of impulse response functions and variance decomposition show us degree of pass-through and share of variation in consumer prices explained by changes in exchange rate. Despite data limitation this research provides meaningful results. Caucasian countries have many similarities but each reveals its own uniqueness. Pass-through is relatively higher in Georgia and Armenia and very low in Azerbaijan. This is consistent with previous literature that countries with higher share of import have higher pass-through. Vector Error Correction model shows that the lowest deviation from long-term equilibrium is in Armenia, which probably is due to inflation targeting strategy. Variance decomposition shows significant share of exchange rates in explaining changes in CPI only in Georgia, which should suggest Georgian monetary authority to observe changes in exchange rate more carefully than other Caucasian countries.…

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Title
Exchange Rate Pass-through to CPI and Inflation in Caucasian Countries : Measuring effect of Exchange rate on CPI inflation by using VAR method
Author
Grigol Grigolava
Publisher
LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing
Publication year
2012
Condition
Neu
Binding
Taschenbuch
Language
English
ISBN 10
3848430819
ISBN 13
9783848430819
Item weight
102 grams
Dimensions
220x150x4 mm

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