Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World
Language: English
Published by Atria / One Signal Publishers, 2025
- Softcover
- New

Seller: Strand Book Store, ABAA, New York, NY, U.S.A.Strand Book Store, ABAA
AbeBooks seller since April 12, 2000
Condition: New
£ 15.41
Quantity: 4 available
Add to basketSeller Inventory # 3821482
- Title
- Everything Is Predictable: How Bayesian Statistics Explain Our World
- Author
- Tom Chivers
- Publisher
- Atria / One Signal Publishers
- Publication year
- 2025
- Condition
- New
- Binding
- Paperback
- Language
- English
- ISBN 10
- 1668052636
- ISBN 13
- 9781668052631
- Seller catalogs
- MATHEMATICS
At its simplest, Bayes's theorem describes the probability of an event, based on prior knowledge of conditions that might be related to the event. But in Everything Is Predictable, Tom Chivers lays out how it affects every aspect of our lives. He explains why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives and how a failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. A cornerstone of rational thought, many argue that Bayes's theorem is a description of almost everything.
But who was the man who lent his name to this theorem? How did an 18th-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician uncover a theorem that would affect fields as diverse as medicine, law, and artificial intelligence?
"Witty, lively, and best of all, extremely nerdy" (Tim Harford, author of The Undercover Economist), Everything Is Predictable is an entertaining and accessible illustration of how a single compelling idea can have far reaching consequences.
"Synopsis" may belong to another edition of this title.
About the Author
"About the title" may belong to another edition of this title.
Strand Book Store, ABAA
New York, NY, U.S.A.
Shipping rates within U.S.A.
| Item | 3 to 7 business days | 2 to 3 business days |
|---|---|---|
| First item | £ 6.72 | £ 12.71 |
Payment methods
Specialty
Art & Photography, Rare and Collectible: First Editions, Used, Fine, ScholarlyAssociation member
Members of these associations are committed to maintaining the highest standards. They vouch for the authenticity of all items offered for sale. They provide expert and detailed descriptions, disclose all significant defects and/or restorations, provide clear and accurate pricing, and operate with fairness and honesty during the purchase experience.Seller's business information
Strand Book Store, Inc.
828 Broadway
New York, NY U.S.A. 10003
Terms of sale
We accept Visa, Mastercard, and American Express. All books are subject to prior
sale in our stores. We cannot guarantee availability of every title, but we will
ship on a first come first served basis. NY State residents must add appropriate
sales tax.
Right of withdrawal
If you are a consumer you can withdraw from the contract in accordance with the following. Consumer means any natural person who is acting for purposes which are outside his trade, business, craft or profession.
Information regarding the right of withdrawal
Statutory right to withdraw
You have the right to withdraw from this contract within 14 days without giving any reason.
The withdrawal period will expire after 14 days from the day on which you acquire, or a third party other than the carrier and indicated by you acquires, physical possession of the last good or the last lot or piece.
To exercise the right of withdrawal, electronically fill in and submit a clear statement on our website, under "My Purchases" in "My Account". We will communicate to you an acknowledgement of receipt of such a withdrawal on a durable medium (e.g. by e-mail) without delay.
To meet the withdrawal deadline, it is sufficient for you to send your communication concerning your exercise of the right of withdrawal before the withdrawal period has expired.
Effects of withdrawal
If you withdraw from this contract, we will reimburse to you all payments received from you, including the costs of delivery (except for the supplementary costs arising if you chose a type of delivery other than the least expensive type of standard delivery offered by us).
We may make a deduction from the reimbursement for loss in value of any goods supplied, if the loss is the result of unnecessary handling by you.
We will make the reimbursement without undue delay, and not later than 14 days after the day on which we are informed about your decision to withdraw from this contract.
We will make the reimbursement using the same means of payment as you used for the initial transaction, unless you have expressly agreed otherwise; in any event, you will not incur any fees as a result of such reimbursement.
We may withhold reimbursement until we have received the goods back, or you have supplied evidence of having sent back the goods, whichever is the earliest.
You shall send back the goods or hand them over to Strand Book Store, ABAA, New York, New York, U.S.A., without undue delay and in any event not later than 14 days from the day on which you communicate your withdrawal from this contract to us. The deadline is met if you send back the goods before the period of 14 days has expired. You will have to bear the direct cost of returning the goods. You are only liable for any diminished value of the goods resulting from the handling other than what is necessary to establish the nature, characteristics and functioning of the goods.
Exceptions to the right of withdrawal
The right of withdrawal does not apply to:
- The delivery of newspapers, journals or magazines with the exception of subscription contracts; and
- The supply of digital content which is not supplied on a tangible medium (e.g. on a CD or DVD) if you accepted when you placed your order that we could start to deliver it, and that you could not withdraw once delivery had started.
Shipping terms
Orders usually ship within 2 business days. Shipping costs are based on books weighing 2.2 LB, or 1 KG. If your book order is heavy or oversized, we may contact you to let you know if an additional fee is required. U.S. standard shipping: $7.99 for the first book + .99 for each additional item. U.S orders shipped via trackable method wherever possible (UPS or US Postal Service) unless otherwise requested. International orders (including Canada)*: $34.99 for the first book + $9.99 for each additional item. International orders are shipped surface mail unless otherwise requested. Please allow 2-12 weeks for this method as books travel by land and sea routes. International airmail and DHL Express Worldmail Service also available.