Engineering Risk in Natural Resources Management

Language: English

Published by Springer Netherlands, Springer Netherlands Sep 1994, 1994

0792330102 / 9780792330103

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This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware -The purpose of this paper is to present a methodology for estimating space-time stochastic properties of local climatic factors reflecting global climate change. Specifically, daily precipitation amount and daily mean temperature are considered and illustrated with application to the state of Nebraska, U. S. A. Furthermore, a drought index with and without global climate change is examined. The magnitude and consequences of regional response to anticipated climatic changes are uncertain (Houghton et al. , 1990). Typical questions to be answered are: can time series of hydrological events or 10cal climatic variables such as daily temperature be conditioned in scenarios of future climate change and if so, how can this be utilized Can extreme historical drought events be reproduced by a stochastic hydroc1imatological model Can such a model be used with General Circu1ation Model (GCM) outputs to evaluate the regional/local effects of climate change scenarios The approach presented in this paper is an extension of the usual analysis of regional hydrometeorological impacts of climate change: we propose to examine time series of GCM produced daily atmospheric circulation patterns (CP), thought to be relatively accurate GCM output to estimate local climatic factors. The paper is organized as follows. First, daily CPs are classified and analyzed statistically, first for historical and then for GCM produced data. Next, the height of the 500 hPa pressure field is introduced as an additional physically relevant variable influencing local climatic factors within each CP type.Springer Verlag GmbH, Tiergartenstr. 17, 69121 Heidelberg 490 pp. Englisch.

Seller Inventory # 9780792330103

Title
Engineering Risk in Natural Resources Management
Author
E. Parent
Publisher
Springer Netherlands, Springer Netherlands Sep 1994
Publication year
1994
Condition
Neu
Binding
Buch
Language
English
ISBN 10
0792330102
ISBN 13
9780792330103
Item weight
896 grams
Dimensions
241x160x31 mm

buchversandmimpf2000

Emtmannsberg, BAYE, Germany

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