Bounded Rationality in Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Towards Optimal Granularity

Language: English

Published by Springer International Publishing AG, CH, 2018

3319872605 / 9783319872605

Series: Book 103 of 378 - Studies in Systems, Decision and Control

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This book addresses an intriguing question: are our decisions rational? It explains seemingly irrational human decision-making behavior by taking into account our limited ability to process information. It also shows with several examples that optimization under granularity restriction leads to observed human decision-making. Drawing on the Nobel-prize-winning studies by Kahneman and Tversky, researchers have found many examples of seemingly irrational decisions: e.g., we overestimate the probability of rare events.Our explanation is that since human abilities to process information are limited, we operate not with the exact values of relevant quantities, but with "granules" that contain these values. We show that optimization under such granularity indeed leads to observed human behavior. In particular, for the first time, we explain the mysterious empirical dependence of betting odds on actual probabilities.This book can be recommended to all students interested in human decision-making, to researchers whose work involves human decisions, and to practitioners who design and employ systems involving human decision-making -so that they can better utilize our ability to make decisions under uncertainty. Softcover reprint of the original 1st ed. 2018.…

Seller Inventory # LU-9783319872605

Title
Bounded Rationality in Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Towards Optimal Granularity
Author
Joe Lorkowski, Vladik Kreinovich
Publisher
Springer International Publishing AG, CH
Publication year
2018
Condition
New
Binding
Paperback
Language
English
ISBN 10
3319872605
ISBN 13
9783319872605
Series
Book 103 of 378: Studies in Systems, Decision and Control

Rarewaves.com USA

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