Bounded Rationality in Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Towards Optimal Granularity

Language: English

Published by Springer, Springer Aug 2018, 2018

3319872605 / 9783319872605

Series: Book 103 of 378 - Studies in Systems, Decision and Control

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This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware -This book addresses an intriguing question: are our decisions rational It explains seemingly irrational human decision-making behavior by taking into account our limited ability to process information. It also shows with several examples that optimization under granularity restriction leads to observed human decision-making. Drawing on the Nobel-prize-winning studies by Kahneman and Tversky, researchers have found many examples of seemingly irrational decisions: e.g., we overestimate the probability of rare events.Our explanation is that since human abilities to process information are limited, we operate not with the exact values of relevant quantities, but with ¿granules¿ that contain these values. We show that optimization under such granularity indeed leads to observed human behavior. In particular, for the first time, we explain the mysterious empirical dependence of betting odds on actual probabilities.This book can be recommended to all students interested in human decision-making, to researchers whose work involves human decisions, and to practitioners who design and employ systems involving human decision-making ¿so that they can better utilize our ability to make decisions under uncertainty.Springer-Verlag KG, Sachsenplatz 4-6, 1201 Wien 176 pp. Englisch.…

Seller Inventory # 9783319872605

Title
Bounded Rationality in Decision Making Under Uncertainty: Towards Optimal Granularity
Author
Joe Lorkowski
Publisher
Springer, Springer Aug 2018
Publication year
2018
Condition
Neu
Binding
Taschenbuch
Language
English
ISBN 10
3319872605
ISBN 13
9783319872605
Item weight
277 grams
Dimensions
235x155x10 mm
Series
Book 103 of 378: Studies in Systems, Decision and Control

buchversandmimpf2000

Emtmannsberg, BAYE, Germany

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