Applications of Computer Aided Time Series Modeling

Language: English

Published by Springer, Springer Nov 1996, 1996

0387947515 / 9780387947518

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This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware -This book consists of three parts: Part One is composed of two introductory chapters. The first chapter provides an instrumental varible interpretation of the state space time series algorithm originally proposed by Aoki (1983), and gives an introductory account for incorporating exogenous signals in state space models. The second chapter, by Havenner, gives practical guidance in apply ing this algorithm by one of the most experienced practitioners of the method. Havenner begins by summarizing six reasons state space methods are advanta geous, and then walks the reader through construction and evaluation of a state space model for four monthly macroeconomic series: industrial production in dex, consumer price index, six month commercial paper rate, and money stock (Ml). To single out one of the several important insights in modeling that he shares with the reader, he discusses in Section 2ii the effects of sampling er rors and model misspecification on successful modeling efforts. He argues that model misspecification is an important amplifier of the effects of sampling error that may cause symplectic matrices to have complex unit roots, a theoretical impossibility. Correct model specifications increase efficiency of estimators and often eliminate this finite sample problem. This is an important insight into the positive realness of covariance matrices; positivity has been emphasized by system engineers to the exclusion of other methods of reducing sampling error and alleviating what is simply a finite sample problem. The second and third parts collect papers that describe specific applications.Springer-Verlag KG, Sachsenplatz 4-6, 1201 Wien 352 pp. Englisch.…

Seller Inventory # 9780387947518

Title
Applications of Computer Aided Time Series Modeling
Author
Masanao Aoki
Publisher
Springer, Springer Nov 1996
Publication year
1996
Condition
Neu
Binding
Taschenbuch
Language
English
ISBN 10
0387947515
ISBN 13
9780387947518
Item weight
534 grams
Dimensions
235x155x20 mm

buchversandmimpf2000

Emtmannsberg, BAYE, Germany

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