Model Evaluation for Seasonal Forecasting over Southern Africa: Model Evaluation for Seasonal Forecasting - Softcover

Browne, Nana Ama Kum; Abiodun, Babatunde Joseph; Hewitson, Bruce

Softcover

ISBN 10: 3848405997 ISBN 13: 9783848405992

Publisher: LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing, 2012

Synopsis

This study contributes to a broader effort of institutions toward improving seasonal forecasts over southern Africa. The primary objective is to understand where global models show shortcomings in their simulations, and how this impacts on their seasonal forecast skill. It is proposed that the skill of a model in simulating natural climate variability is an appropriate metric for a model’s potential skill in seasonal forecasting. Thus the study investigates the performance of two global models in simulating the regional processes in relation to the processes variability, and how this is related to their forecast skill. The study significantly provides more insight into models ability to simulate the general circulation features that modulate rainfall and temperature, and the relationship of rainfall with global SST. This study therefore provides useful information for modellers, forecasters, and climate researchers on the global models used in the study.

About this title

About the Author

Nana Ama Kum Browne holds a PhD in Climatology. Her research interest is in Climate variability and Climate Change. She is a lecturer at the Department of Physics, University of Cape Coast, Ghana. She is a coordinator of Outreach programs and Education at the Ghana Space Science and Technology Center in Ghana.

Edition details

• Publisher: LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing
• Publication date: 2012
• Language: English
• ISBN 10: 3848405997
• ISBN 13: 9783848405992
• Binding: Paperback
• Number of pages: 124