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Optimal Cancer Screening: Life-Cycle Monte Carlo Simulations for the case of Colon and Rectum Cancers - Softcover
Synopsis
A dynamic stochastic model for colon and rectum cancer is developed to obtain the optimal ages to perform colonoscopies. The currently recommended guideline for colonoscopy is to test at ages 50, 60, 70, 80 and 90. Our Monte Carlo simulation yields a cost/life-year saved of $54,919.62 for the official policy. We ask the following: if we could reallocate the 5 tests between the ages of 50 and 90, which ages for testing would give the lowest cost/life-year saved? Of the 91,309 possible policies 43,026, or 47%, have a better cost per life-year saved than the currently recommended guidelines. The policy with the lowest cost is to test at the ages of 64, 71, 73, 79, 85 with a cost of $38,081.37 per life-year saved. An improvement of 30% in the cost/life-year saved. The framework developed in this paper can be further used to evaluate the cost effectiveness of current guidelines for other cancers. The policies can be personalized by sex and race to have better cost- effectiveness ratios. Finally, guidelines can be developed to equate cost per life-year saved across different cancers.
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About the Author
He obtained his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Pennsylvania, specializing in computer economics. Previously he received a masters and bachelor in economics from the U. of British Columbia. He has been awarded First Place in the National Mathematics Olympiad and Third Place in the National Physics Olympiad.
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Optimal Cancer Screening
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LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing Mai 2010, 2010
ISBN 10: 3838300890
ISBN 13: 9783838300894
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Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -A dynamic stochastic model for colon and rectum cancer is developed to obtain the optimal ages to perform colonoscopies. The currently recommended guideline for colonoscopy is to test at ages 50, 60, 70, 80 and 90. Our Monte Carlo simulation yields a cost/life-year saved of $54,919.62 for the official policy. We ask the following: if we could reallocate the 5 tests between the ages of 50 and 90, which ages for testing would give the lowest cost/life-year saved Of the 91,309 possible policies 43,026, or 47%, have a better cost per life-year saved than the currently recommended guidelines. The policy with the lowest cost is to test at the ages of 64, 71, 73, 79, 85 with a cost of $38,081.37 per life-year saved. An improvement of 30% in the cost/life-year saved. The framework developed in this paper can be further used to evaluate the cost effectiveness of current guidelines for other cancers. The policies can be personalized by sex and race to have better cost-effectiveness ratios. Finally, guidelines can be developed to equate cost per life-year saved across different cancers. 64 pp. Englisch. Seller Inventory # 9783838300894
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Optimal Cancer Screening : Life-Cycle Monte Carlo Simulations for the case of Colon and Rectum Cancers
Published by
LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing, 2010
ISBN 10: 3838300890
ISBN 13: 9783838300894
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Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. nach der Bestellung gedruckt Neuware - Printed after ordering - A dynamic stochastic model for colon and rectum cancer is developed to obtain the optimal ages to perform colonoscopies. The currently recommended guideline for colonoscopy is to test at ages 50, 60, 70, 80 and 90. Our Monte Carlo simulation yields a cost/life-year saved of $54,919.62 for the official policy. We ask the following: if we could reallocate the 5 tests between the ages of 50 and 90, which ages for testing would give the lowest cost/life-year saved Of the 91,309 possible policies 43,026, or 47%, have a better cost per life-year saved than the currently recommended guidelines. The policy with the lowest cost is to test at the ages of 64, 71, 73, 79, 85 with a cost of $38,081.37 per life-year saved. An improvement of 30% in the cost/life-year saved. The framework developed in this paper can be further used to evaluate the cost effectiveness of current guidelines for other cancers. The policies can be personalized by sex and race to have better cost-effectiveness ratios. Finally, guidelines can be developed to equate cost per life-year saved across different cancers. Seller Inventory # 9783838300894
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Optimal Cancer Screening
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LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing, 2010
ISBN 10: 3838300890
ISBN 13: 9783838300894
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Condition: New. Dieser Artikel ist ein Print on Demand Artikel und wird nach Ihrer Bestellung fuer Sie gedruckt. Autor/Autorin: Gonzalez JavierHe obtained his Ph.D. in economics from the University of Pennsylvania, specializing in computer economics. Previously he received a masters and bachelor in economics from the U. of British Columbia. He has been aw. Seller Inventory # 5410837
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Optimal Cancer Screening
Published by
LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing Mai 2010, 2010
ISBN 10: 3838300890
ISBN 13: 9783838300894
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Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware -A dynamic stochastic model for colon and rectum cancer is developed to obtain the optimal ages to perform colonoscopies. The currently recommended guideline for colonoscopy is to test at ages 50, 60, 70, 80 and 90. Our Monte Carlo simulation yields a cost/life-year saved of $54,919.62 for the official policy. We ask the following: if we could reallocate the 5 tests between the ages of 50 and 90, which ages for testing would give the lowest cost/life-year saved Of the 91,309 possible policies 43,026, or 47%, have a better cost per life-year saved than the currently recommended guidelines. The policy with the lowest cost is to test at the ages of 64, 71, 73, 79, 85 with a cost of $38,081.37 per life-year saved. An improvement of 30% in the cost/life-year saved. The framework developed in this paper can be further used to evaluate the cost effectiveness of current guidelines for other cancers. The policies can be personalized by sex and race to have better cost- effectiveness ratios. Finally, guidelines can be developed to equate cost per life-year saved across different cancers.VDM Verlag, Dudweiler Landstraße 99, 66123 Saarbrücken 64 pp. Englisch. Seller Inventory # 9783838300894
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Optimal Cancer Screening: Life-Cycle Monte Carlo Simulations for the case of Colon and Rectum Cancers
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ISBN 13: 9783838300894
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