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Synopsis
The objective of this book is to empirically evaluate the parameters which drive exchange rate changes. The analysis will be performed with a dynamic linear model in a Bayesian framework. It will be demonstrated how to get from a static first order polynomial model to a dynamic regression model, incorporating the predictive parameters such as "purchasing power parity", "interest rate differentials" and "volatility index". Discussion will focus on how different currency pairs react on specific parameters. While analyzing data in the long-run as well as during the financial crisis from 2008-2009 it will become clear that specific parameters dominate specific business cycles. Putting all this information together the model will be compared to a simple trading strategy to show that using this model an investor can earn excess returns between 1.23% and 1.9% p.a.
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About the Author
Thomas Hrad works as Group Financial Analyst for New Frontier Group in Vienna. He holds a Master's degree in Finance and Accounting from Vienna University of Economics and Business. His academic research focused on mechanisms that dominate exchange rates during different business cycles and was awarded with the CFA Society Austria prize.
From the Back Cover
The objective of this book is to empirically evaluate the parameters which drive exchange rate changes. The analysis will be performed with a dynamic linear model in a Bayesian framework. It will be demonstrated how to get from a static first order polynomial model to a dynamic regression model, incorporating the predictive parameters such as ¿purchasing power parity¿, ¿interest rate differentials¿ and ¿volatility index¿. Discussion will focus on how different currency pairs react on specific parameters. While analyzing data in the long-run as well as during the financial crisis from 2008-2009 it will become clear that specific parameters dominate specific business cycles. Putting all this information together the model will be compared to a simple trading strategy to show that using this model an investor can earn excess returns between 1.23% and 1.9% p.a.
"About this title" may belong to another edition of this title.
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Dynamics of exchange rate changes
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AV Akademikerverlag Mrz 2014, 2014
ISBN 10: 3639627830
ISBN 13: 9783639627831
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Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -The objective of this book is to empirically evaluate the parameters which drive exchange rate changes. The analysis will be performed with a dynamic linear model in a Bayesian framework. It will be demonstrated how to get from a static first order polynomial model to a dynamic regression model, incorporating the predictive parameters such as 'purchasing power parity', 'interest rate differentials' and 'volatility index'. Discussion will focus on how different currency pairs react on specific parameters. While analyzing data in the long-run as well as during the financial crisis from 2008-2009 it will become clear that specific parameters dominate specific business cycles. Putting all this information together the model will be compared to a simple trading strategy to show that using this model an investor can earn excess returns between 1.23% and 1.9% p.a. 80 pp. Englisch. Seller Inventory # 9783639627831
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Dynamics of exchange rate changes : Bayesian forecasting with dynamic linear models
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Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. nach der Bestellung gedruckt Neuware - Printed after ordering - The objective of this book is to empirically evaluate the parameters which drive exchange rate changes. The analysis will be performed with a dynamic linear model in a Bayesian framework. It will be demonstrated how to get from a static first order polynomial model to a dynamic regression model, incorporating the predictive parameters such as 'purchasing power parity', 'interest rate differentials' and 'volatility index'. Discussion will focus on how different currency pairs react on specific parameters. While analyzing data in the long-run as well as during the financial crisis from 2008-2009 it will become clear that specific parameters dominate specific business cycles. Putting all this information together the model will be compared to a simple trading strategy to show that using this model an investor can earn excess returns between 1.23% and 1.9% p.a. Seller Inventory # 9783639627831
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Dynamics of Exchange Rate Changes
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Dynamics of exchange rate changes
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AV Akademikerverlag Mär 2014, 2014
ISBN 10: 3639627830
ISBN 13: 9783639627831
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Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware -The objective of this book is to empirically evaluate the parameters which drive exchange rate changes. The analysis will be performed with a dynamic linear model in a Bayesian framework. It will be demonstrated how to get from a static first order polynomial model to a dynamic regression model, incorporating the predictive parameters such as 'purchasing power parity', 'interest rate differentials' and 'volatility index'. Discussion will focus on how different currency pairs react on specific parameters. While analyzing data in the long-run as well as during the financial crisis from 2008-2009 it will become clear that specific parameters dominate specific business cycles. Putting all this information together the model will be compared to a simple trading strategy to show that using this model an investor can earn excess returns between 1.23% and 1.9% p.a.VDM Verlag, Dudweiler Landstraße 99, 66123 Saarbrücken 80 pp. Englisch. Seller Inventory # 9783639627831
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Dynamics of exchange rate changes | Bayesian forecasting with dynamic linear models
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Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. Dynamics of exchange rate changes | Bayesian forecasting with dynamic linear models | Thomas Hrad | Taschenbuch | 80 S. | Englisch | 2015 | AV Akademikerverlag | EAN 9783639627831 | Verantwortliche Person für die EU: BoD - Books on Demand, In de Tarpen 42, 22848 Norderstedt, info[at]bod[dot]de | Anbieter: preigu. Seller Inventory # 105363194