Uncertainty in Strategic Decision Making: Analysis, Categorization, Causation and Resolution - Hardcover

Arend, Richard J.

Hardcover

ISBN 10: 3031485521 ISBN 13: 9783031485527

Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan, 2024

Synopsis

Knight (1921) defines uncertainty as an informational market failure that, while being detrimental to most existing businesses, presents possible profitable opportunities for others. This book builds upon that classic work by providing an analysis of the alternative approaches to strategic decision-making under such uncertainty. It covers what uncertainty is, why it is important, and what connections it has to business and related fields, culminating in a new and comprehensive typology and a valuable guide for how to appropriately address various types of uncertainties, even under AI.

It clarifies the current terminological and categorical confusion about ‘unknowns’ while complementing the mathematical, probability-based approaches that treat uncertainty as ‘knowable’ (i.e., as risk). It corrects the mistaken approaches that treat ‘unknowables’ as ‘shapeable’ or ‘discoverable’. This book widens the perspective for viewing uncertainty, in terms of its impacts across humanity, byoffering a shrewder understanding of what roles uncertainties play in human activity. It will appeal to academics across business, economics, philosophy, and other disciplines looking for approaches to apply, test, and hone for dealing with decision-making under uncertainty.

About this title

About the Author

Richard J. Arend is the L.L. Bean/ Lee Surace Chair in Strategic Management at the University of Southern Maine, USA. He specializes in strategic decision-making under uncertainty and in the critical assessments of the current theories of strategy and of entrepreneurship. He has authored two previous books – one on building better theory and one on wicked entrepreneurship.

From the Back Cover

Knight (1921) defines uncertainty as an informational market failure that, while being detrimental to most existing businesses, presents possible profitable opportunities for others. This book builds upon that classic work by providing an analysis of the alternative approaches to strategic decision-making under such uncertainty. It covers what uncertainty is, why it is important, and what connections it has to business and related fields, culminating in a new and comprehensive typology and a valuable guide for how to appropriately address various types of uncertainties, even under AI.

It clarifies the current terminological and categorical confusion about ‘unknowns’ while complementing the mathematical, probability-based approaches that treat uncertainty as ‘knowable’ (i.e., as risk). It corrects the mistaken approaches that treat ‘unknowables’ as ‘shapeable’ or ‘discoverable’. This book widens the perspective for viewing uncertainty, in terms of its impacts across humanity, by offering a shrewder understanding of what roles uncertainties play in human activity. It will appeal to academics across business, economics, philosophy, and other disciplines looking for approaches to apply, test, and hone, for dealing with decision-making under uncertainty.

Richard J. Arend is the L.L. Bean/Lee Surace Chair in Strategic Management at the University of Southern Maine, USA. He specializes in strategic decision-making under uncertainty and in the critical assessments of the current theories of strategy and of entrepreneurship. He has authored two previous books – one on building better theory and one on wicked entrepreneurship.

Edition details

• Publisher: Palgrave Macmillan
• Publication date: 2024
• Language: English
• ISBN 10: 3031485521
• ISBN 13: 9783031485527
• Binding: Hardcover
• Edition number: 1
• Number of pages: 479