The Presidential Memorandum of October 25, 2018, “Developing a Sustainable Spectrum Strategy for America’s Future,” calls for the development of a National Spectrum Strategy. The development of the strategy is to be informed by three interim products, one of which is a report on emerging technologies and their expected impact on non-Federal spectrum demand, to be submitted to the President by the Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) or the Director’s designee. The purpose of this paper is to assist OSTP in developing the required report.Fifth Generation (5G) Wireless TechnologyThis study assesses the potential impact on spectrum demand of emerging 5G wireless technology and 5G enable applications, which is recognized by the Trump Administration as one of four “Industries of the Future” that will ensure American prosperity and national security. 5G is expected to be revolutionary in its impact. It will enhance mobile broadband performance with an order of magnitude increase in speed, which will enable new classes of applications—such as augmented reality and virtual reality—to emerge in offices, classrooms, museums, sports events, and retail premises. 5G will also accommodate crowd densities at the scale of Super Bowls and support broadband access for users moving at the speed of express trains. Moreover, 5G will enable applications—such as self-driving cars, factory automation, and remote surgery—that require ultra-high reliability and low latency. In addition, 5G will enable the world of the Internet of Things (IoT)—which will lay the foundation for smart homes, smart buildings, smart cities, precision agriculture, and more.
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