Every day, billions of human beings are making dozens of decisions that do not appear based on the same, seemingly sound mathematical principles they would apply to a gambling or investing situation. Yet these decisions are not irrational, rather they are the product of an innate sense pertaining to risk and opportunity with respect to the exigency of ever-present time.For decades various mathematical notions have presented themselves which, though applicable to domains such as probability, game theory, operations research, and quantitative finance, have fallen essentially outside the purview of these various disciplines. Yet the concepts detailed in this text are all related, and taken together comprise their own niche-discipline, introduced here as Risk-Opportunity Analysis.
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RALPH VINCE got his start in the trading business as a margin clerk, and later worked as a consultant programmer to large futures traders and fund managers. He presently chairs the Derivatives/Forex Committee on the board of The Market Technicians Association. Since the publication of Portfolio Management Formulas and The Mathematics of Money Management, both published by Wiley, numerous software companies have incorporated these ideas into their products.
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