Synopsis
The Project on National Security Reform submitted its 2-year study of the national security system, Forging a New Shield, to the President, President-elect, and Congress on November 26, 2008. Before the Project finalized the report's recommendations, its Vision Working Group tested the findings against a diverse set of scenarios to determine if the recommendations were robust and effective. This volume documents the scenario-testing process used by the Vision Working Group and includes the actual pre-reform and post-reform scenarios, and details many other scenario techniques used in the overall study. Results revealed that each of the five major findings improved the performance of the current national security system, but, on the whole, the findings concluded that the national security system was at risk of failure and needed serious reform. The work of the Vision Working Group has led to the formulation of an additional recommendation: The country must establish a mechanism to infuse greater foresight into the Executive Branch, and in particular the national security system. This proposed mechanism, named the Center for Strategic Analysis and Assessment, would exist and operate within the Executive Office of the President. This volume details the proposed architecture and operation of the Center.
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About the Author
SHEILA R. RONIS is Director of the MBA and Master of Management Programs at Walsh College. She is also President of The University Group, Inc., a management consulting firm and think tank specializing in strategic management, visioning, national security, and public policy. She teaches the “Strategic Management Capstone” course of the MBA, “Issues of Globalization” and “Strategic Management and Leadership” in the Doctorate of Management program at Walsh College. Dr. Ronis chairs the Vision Working Group of the Project on National Security Reform in Washington, DC, where she is responsible for the plan and processes to develop The Center for Strategic Analysis and Assessment, the venue where the President of the United States will conduct “grand strategy” on behalf of the nation. Dr. Ronis participates in many programs at the Industrial College of the Armed Forces (ICAF) at the National Defense University in Washington, DC including their National Security Strategy Exercise. In June 2005, she chaired at ICAF the Army’s Eisenhower National Security Series Conference, “The State of the U.S. Industrial Base: National Security Implications in a World of Globalization.” The Proceedings of that conference, which Dr. Ronis co-edited with Dr. Lynne Thompson, were published by the National Defense University Press in April, 2006. In March 2006, Dr. Ronis completed a study of the national security implications of the erosion of the U.S. industrial base for the U.S. House of Representatives Committee on Small Business. Her book, Timelines into the Future: Strategic Visioning Methods for Government, Industry and Other Organizations, was published by Hamilton Books in June 2007. She has authored nearly 200 articles 252 and papers. Dr. Ronis holds a B.S. in physics and mathematics and an M.A. and Ph.D. from The Ohio State University where she studied large social system behavior.
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