Uncertainty in Risk Assessment: The Representation and Treatment of Uncertainties by Probabilistic and Non-Probabilistic Methods - Hardcover

Aven, Terje; Baraldi, Piero; Flage, Roger; Zio, Enrico

Hardcover

ISBN 10: 1118489586 ISBN 13: 9781118489581

Publisher: Wiley, 2014

Synopsis

Explores methods for the representation and treatment of uncertainty in risk assessment

In providing guidance for practical decision-making situations concerning high-consequence technologies (e.g., nuclear, oil and gas, transport, etc.), the theories and methods studied in Uncertainty in Risk Assessment have wide-ranging applications from engineering and medicine to environmental impacts and natural disasters, security, and financial risk management. The main focus, however, is on engineering applications.

While requiring some fundamental background in risk assessment, as well as a basic knowledge of probability theory and statistics, Uncertainty in Risk Assessment can be read profitably by a broad audience of professionals in the field, including researchers and graduate students on courses within risk analysis, statistics, engineering, and the physical sciences.

Uncertainty in Risk Assessment:

• Illustrates the need for seeing beyond probability to represent uncertainties in risk assessment contexts.
• Provides simple explanations (supported by straightforward numerical examples) of the meaning of different types of probabilities, including interval probabilities, and the fundamentals of possibility theory and evidence theory.
• Offers guidance on when to use probability and when to use an alternative representation of uncertainty.
• Presents and discusses methods for the representation and characterization of uncertainty in risk assessment.
• Uses examples to clearly illustrate ideas and concepts.

About this title

About the Author

Terje Aven, University of Stavanger, Norway

Piero Baraldi, Politecnico di Milano, Italy

Roger Flage, University of Stavanger, Norway

Enrico Zio, Politecnico di Milano, Italy

From the Back Cover

Explores methods for the representation and treatment of uncertainty in risk assessment

In providing guidance for practical decision-making situations concerning high-consequence technologies (e.g., nuclear, oil and gas, transport, etc.), the theories and methods studied in Uncertainty in Risk Assessment have wide-ranging applications from engineering and medicine to environmental impacts and natural disasters, security, and financial risk management. The main focus, however, is on engineering applications.

While requiring some fundamental background in risk assessment, as well as a basic knowledge of probability theory and statistics, Uncertainty in Risk Assessment can be read profitably by a broad audience of professionals in the field, including researchers and graduate students on courses within risk analysis, statistics, engineering, and the physical sciences.

Uncertainty in Risk Assessment:

• Illustrates the need for seeing beyond probability to represent uncertainties in risk assessment contexts.
• Provides simple explanations (supported by straightforward numerical examples) of the meaning of different types of probabilities, including interval probabilities, and the fundamentals of possibility theory and evidence theory.
• Offers guidance on when to use probability and when to use an alternative representation of uncertainty.
• Presents and discusses methods for the representation and characterization of uncertainty in risk assessment.
• Uses examples to clearly illustrate ideas and concepts.

From the Inside Flap

Explores methods for the representation and treatment of uncertainty in risk assessment

In providing guidance for practical decision-making situations concerning high-consequence technologies (e.g., nuclear, oil and gas, transport, etc.), the theories and methods studied in Uncertainty in Risk Assessment have wide-ranging applications from engineering and medicine to environmental impacts and natural disasters, security, and financial risk management. The main focus, however, is on engineering applications.

While requiring some fundamental background in risk assessment, as well as a basic knowledge of probability theory and statistics, Uncertainty in Risk Assessment can be read profitably by a broad audience of professionals in the field, including researchers and graduate students on courses within risk analysis, statistics, engineering, and the physical sciences.

Uncertainty in Risk Assessment:

• Illustrates the need for seeing beyond probability to represent uncertainties in risk assessment contexts.
• Provides simple explanations (supported by straightforward numerical examples) of the meaning of different types of probabilities, including interval probabilities, and the fundamentals of possibility theory and evidence theory.
• Offers guidance on when to use probability and when to use an alternative representation of uncertainty.
• Presents and discusses methods for the representation and characterization of uncertainty in risk assessment.
• Uses examples to clearly illustrate ideas and concepts.

Edition details

• Publisher: Wiley
• Publication date: 2014
• Language: English
• ISBN 10: 1118489586
• ISBN 13: 9781118489581
• Binding: Hardcover
• Edition number: 1
• Number of pages: 208