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Synopsis
Even experienced experts can be biased and overconfident. This book explains how to ensure experts provide reliable scientific advice.
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About the Author
Mark A. Burgman is the Adrienne Clarke Chair of Botany at the University of Melbourne and Editor-in-Chief of the journal Conservation Biology. He has published over 200 refereed articles and seven authored books in ecology, conservation and risk analysis, and has worked in Australia, the United States and Switzerland. In 2006 he was elected to the Australian Academy of Science and received the Society for Conservation Biology Distinguished Service Award. He won the Royal Society of Victoria Research Medal in 2013.
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Trusting Judgements: How to Get the Best out of Experts
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Cambridge University Press, 2016
ISBN 10: 1107112087
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Trusting Judgements: How to Get the Best out of Experts
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Trusting Judgements
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Cambridge University Press, 2015
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Condition: New. Even experienced experts can be biased and overconfident. This book explains how to ensure experts provide reliable scientific advice. Num Pages: 214 pages, 56 b/w illus. 4 tables. BIC Classification: JPH; KJM; PDK. Category: (G) General (US: Trade); (P) Professional & Vocational. Dimension: 228 x 152 x 13. Weight in Grams: 460. . 2015. Hardback. . . . . Seller Inventory # V9781107112087
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Trusting Judgements: How to Get the Best out of Experts
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ISBN 10: 1107112087
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Trusting Judgements: How to Get the Best out of Experts
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Trusting Judgements: How to Get the Best Out of Experts
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Trusting Judgements
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ISBN 10: 1107112087
ISBN 13: 9781107112087
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Seller: Kennys Bookstore, Olney, MD, U.S.A.
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Condition: New. Even experienced experts can be biased and overconfident. This book explains how to ensure experts provide reliable scientific advice. Num Pages: 214 pages, 56 b/w illus. 4 tables. BIC Classification: JPH; KJM; PDK. Category: (G) General (US: Trade); (P) Professional & Vocational. Dimension: 228 x 152 x 13. Weight in Grams: 460. . 2015. Hardback. . . . . Books ship from the US and Ireland. Seller Inventory # V9781107112087
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Trusting Judgements: How to Get the Best out of Experts
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ISBN 10: 1107112087
ISBN 13: 9781107112087
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Trusting Judgements (Hardcover)
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Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 2015
ISBN 10: 1107112087
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Hardcover. Condition: new. Hardcover. Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry constantly face important decisions without full knowledge of all the facts. They rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. There are unprecedented opportunities for experts to influence decisions. Yet even the most experienced can be over-confident and error-prone, and the hidden risk is that scientists and other experts can over-reach, often with good intentions, placing more weight on the evidence they provide than is warranted. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, explains why group judgements outperform individual estimates, and provides an accessible and up-to-date guide to the science of expert judgement. Finally, and importantly, it outlines a simple, practical framework that will help policy- and decision-makers to ensure that the advice that they receive is relatively reliable and accurate, thus substantially improving the quality of information on which critical decisions are made. Policy- and decision-makers in government and industry rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical scientific knowledge gaps. Yet even the best experts can be over-confident and error-prone. This book describes how to identify potentially risky advice, and how to ensure expert advice is relatively reliable and accurate. This item is printed on demand. Shipping may be from our UK warehouse or from our Australian or US warehouses, depending on stock availability. Seller Inventory # 9781107112087
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Trusting Judgements: How to Get the Best out of Experts
Published by
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ISBN 10: 1107112087
ISBN 13: 9781107112087
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Condition: New. PRINT ON DEMAND pp. 210. Seller Inventory # 18372782235