Deterrence Theory and Chinese Behavior - Softcover

Shulsky, Abram N.

Softcover

ISBN 10: 0833028537 ISBN 13: 9780833028532

Publisher: RAND Corporation, 2000

Synopsis

China's recent reforms have led to unprecedented economic growth; if this continues, China will be able to turn its great potential power into actual power. The result could be, in the very long term, the rise of China as a rival to the United States as the world's predominant power; in the nearer term, China could become a significant rival in the East Asian region. In this context, the issue for U.S. policy is how to handle a rising power, a problem that predominant powers have faced many times throughout history. It is the contention of this report that the future Sino U.S. context will illustrate many of the problems of deterrence theory that have been discussed in recent decades; deterrence theory will be, in general, more difficult to apply than it was in the U.S.Soviet Cold War context. The key may be to seek nonmilitary means of deterrence, i.e., diplomatic ways to manipulate the tension to China's disadvantage.

About this title

Synopsis

This title discusses the future of Sino-US relations in the context of China as a potential rival to the US. It argues that deterrence theory will be more difficult to apply than it was in the US-Soviet Cold War context, and that the key may be non-military means of deterrence.

Edition details

• Publisher: RAND Corporation
• Publication date: 2000
• Language: English
• ISBN 10: 0833028537
• ISBN 13: 9780833028532
• Binding: Paperback
• Number of pages: 104