The People's Republic of China has often used force in ways that surprised and perplexed other countries. The Chinese appear to believe that, by carefully designing military operations to achieve maximum political effect, they can successfully use force even when the overall military balace is unfavorable. China's past successes in using force in this way while avoiding a massive reaction from its adversaries may give it confidence that it can succeed in the future as well.
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China has often used force in ways that surprise and perplex other countries, when the overall military balance is unfavourable. Things have now changed however, there are no longer two superpowers to play off against each other and after decades of economic development, China now has more to lose.
Mark Burles (MA, International Relations, Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies (SAIS), Washington, D.C.) is a senior research assistant at Rand.
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