Preoccupied with the war on terrorism, we have lost sight of a more dangerous enemy of social peace and progress – the inability of the world's people to access the ecological goods and services they need to maintain and build their societies. By 2025, the combined demands of continued economic growth and the reduction of global poverty will require, annually, the ecological equivalent of three or four Earths. If history is our guide, the options for meeting these enormous 'provisioning' needs are extremely limited. Like the tribes, cities, and nations of earlier times, we can fight our neighbours for privileged access to declining ecosystem goods and services. This confrontation will inevitably pit the wealthy beneficiaries of the global economy against the billions of excluded, and lead to accelerated ecological collapse, the derailment of growth, and social chaos. The only alternative to this dismal prospect is to mobilize on a scale as if for war in order to meet this provisioning challenge on the battlefields of directed technological innovation.
In The Next World War, Roy Woodbridge argues that the international community must redirect present sustainable development and poverty reduction efforts in ways that place the provisioning of societies at the heart of political decision-making. To move this highly focused agenda forward, he calls on the United Nations to convene a World Forum on Global Provisioning to declare war on ecological decline and set the battle plans for the next world war – the war to equitably provision continued growth.
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Roy Woodbridge is the president of Woodbridge & Associates, an environmental policy consulting firm in Vancouver.
'In The Next World War, Roy Woodbridge presents a cogent and compelling argument to turn biocentrism on its head. Woodbridge's innovative analysis suggests we refocus the environmental agenda on the threat to all human societies from ecological decline. Having read his argument, I cannot but agree with him.'
'There is little question that there will be a 'next world war.' The only matter of dispute is whether it will be a bloody battle over the remaining pockets of essential resources on a degraded planet, or a war in which the world's nations rally together against ecological decline. Roy Woodbridge's book is a 'must read' for anyone not familiar with the dynamics that present us with this fatal choice and for everyone interested in the prospects for continued civilized life on Earth.'
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