The book describes the errors that people commonly make in dealing with probabilities.
"synopsis" may belong to another edition of this title.
"This work represents a major contribution to methodology in the study of human decision making....The book is an outstanding piece of scholarship. It is thorough and authoritative. It provides an original, penetrating, cogently-argued, challenging re-analysis and re-assessment of many of the most infuential studies in the field of human judgement....it throws light on apparent conflicts and paradoxes in the literature and it provides students and researchers with many helpful insights that will enable them to optimise the design of experiments on human judgement....this book looks set to become a standard reference work for students and researchers in the field of human judgement." Raphael Gillett, Applied Cognitive Psychology
"The book is well organized, with separate chapters devoted to each of the major biases....The author has incorporated several reader-friendly devices, such as chapter summaries, as well as sections in all the major chapters on practical examples of the bias described in the chapter and how to avoid it. The helpfulness of these sections varies greatly: Poulton does an excellent job of depicting the dangers that availability can lead to in clinical diagnosis....Poulton emphasises the limitations of behavioral decision research....Because of Poulton's methodological bent, he dissects key experiments- especially Kahneman and Tversky's seminal research-in more detail than do other introductory texts." Applied Cognitive Psychology
The book describes the errors that people commonly make in dealing with probabilities. They include both the errors that are now well recognised like overconfidence, and the errors that investigators may themselves introduce without realising it.
"About this title" may belong to another edition of this title.
Seller: Anybook.com, Lincoln, United Kingdom
Condition: Good. This is an ex-library book and may have the usual library/used-book markings inside.This book has hardback covers. Clean from markings. In good all round condition. Dust jacket in good condition. Please note the Image in this listing is a stock photo and may not match the covers of the actual item,750grams, ISBN:9780521443685. Seller Inventory # 9813775
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Seller: Anybook.com, Lincoln, United Kingdom
Condition: Good. This is an ex-library book and may have the usual library/used-book markings inside.This book has hardback covers. Clean from markings. In good all round condition. Dust jacket in good condition. Please note the Image in this listing is a stock photo and may not match the covers of the actual item,750grams, ISBN:9780521443685. Seller Inventory # 9813774
Quantity: 1 available
Seller: Goulds Book Arcade, Sydney, Newtown, Sydney, NSW, Australia
Hard Cover. Condition: Very Good. Dust Jacket Condition: Very Good. 314 pages. Shadow of sticker on front of dust jacket. Books listed here are not stored at the shop. Please contact us if you want to pick up a book from Newtown. Seller Inventory # 155935
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Seller: California Books, Miami, FL, U.S.A.
Condition: New. Seller Inventory # I-9780521443685
Seller: Ria Christie Collections, Uxbridge, United Kingdom
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Seller: CitiRetail, Stevenage, United Kingdom
Hardcover. Condition: new. Hardcover. This book discusses the well-known fallacies of behavioral decision theory. It shows that while an investigator is studying a fallacy, he or she may introduce without realizing it, one of the simple biases that are found in quantifying judgments. The work covers such fallacies as the apparent overconfidence that people show when they judge the probability of correctness of their answers to two-choice general knowledge questions using a one-sided rating scale; the apparent overconfidence in setting uncertainty bounds on unknown quantities when using the fractile method; the interactions between hindsight and memory; the belief that small samples are as reliable and as representative as are large samples; the conjunction fallacy for Linda and Bill; the causal conjunction fallacy; the regression fallacy in prediction; the neglect of the base rate in the Cab problem, in predicting professions, and in the Medical Diagnosis problem; the availability and simulation fallacies; the anchoring and adjustment biases; Prospect theory; and bias by frames. The aim of this book is to help readers to learn about the fallacies and to avoid them. The book describes the errors that people commonly make in dealing with probabilities. They include both the errors that are now well recognised like overconfidence, and the errors that investigators may themselves introduce without realising it. This item is printed on demand. Shipping may be from our UK warehouse or from our Australian or US warehouses, depending on stock availability. Seller Inventory # 9780521443685
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Seller: moluna, Greven, Germany
Condition: New. Dieser Artikel ist ein Print on Demand Artikel und wird nach Ihrer Bestellung fuer Sie gedruckt. The book describes the errors that people commonly make in dealing with probabilities. They include both the errors that are now well recognised like overconfidence, and the errors that investigators may themselves introduce without realising it.In. Seller Inventory # 446935745
Quantity: Over 20 available
Seller: Books Puddle, Woodside, NY, U.S.A.
Condition: New. pp. 334. Seller Inventory # 26230143
Seller: Revaluation Books, Exeter, United Kingdom
Hardcover. Condition: Brand New. 1st edition. 334 pages. 9.50x6.50x0.75 inches. In Stock. Seller Inventory # x-0521443687
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