Items related to Signal and the Noise
Synopsis
Paperback. Pub Date :2013-01-05 Publisher: Penguin Books US Every time we choose a route to work. decide whether to go on a second date. or set aside money for a rainy day. we are making a prediction about the future . Yet from the global financial crisis to 911 to the Fukushima disaster. we often fail to foresee hugely significant events. In The Signal and the Noise. the New York Times political forecaster and statistics guru Nate Silver explores the art of prediction. revealing how we can all build a better crystal ball.In his quest to distinguish the true signal from a universe of noisy data. Silver visits hundreds of expert forecasters. in fields ranging from the stock market to the poker table. from earthquakes to terrorism. What lies behind their success And why do so many predictions still fail By analysing the rare prescient forecasts. and applying a more quantitativ...
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Review
Outstanding... I was hooked (Tim Harford Financial Times)
One of the more momentous books of the decade (The New York Times Book Review)
A lucid explanation of how to think probabilistically (Guardian)
The inhabitants of Westminster are speed-reading The Signal and the Noise... They will find the book remarkable and rewarding (Sunday Telegraph)
Is there anything now that Nate Silver could tell us that we wouldn't believe? (Jonathan Freedland)
Fascinating... our age's Brunel (Bryan Appleyard Sunday Times)
A surprisingly accessible peek into the world of mathematical probability (Daily Telegraph)
The Galileo of number crunchers (Independent)
A 34-year old Delphic Oracle (Daily Beast)
About the Author
Nate Silver is a statistician and political forecaster at The New York Times. In 2012, he correctly predicted the outcome of 50 out of 50 states during the US presidential election, trumping the professional pollsters and pundits. He was named one of TIME's 100 Most Influential People in the world, and one of Rolling Stones' top Agents of Change. He lives in Brooklyn, New York.
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- PublisherPenguin Books US
- Publication date2013
- ISBN 10 0143124005
- ISBN 13 9780143124009
- BindingPaperback
- LanguageEnglish
- Number of pages544
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The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-but Some Don't
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