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“Robert Matthews’s engaging book shows the critical importance of understanding the basic ideas of probability and statistics for life in the modern world. He ranges over counterintuitive properties of chance, through evidence which is there if only we open our eyes to see it, to how to make―and lose―a fortune, all in a clear and accessible way.”
―David J. Hand, author of The Improbability Principle
“With a witty, welcoming spirit of Darrell Huff’s 1954 bestseller How to Lie with Statistics, Robert Matthews has written one of those rare informative statistics books for everyone. In this era’s slippery claims of facts and fallacies, Chancing It is fresh enlightenment on how to judge the random winds of possibility with well-informed skepticism of belief.”
―Joseph Mazur, author of Fluke: The Math and Myth of Coincidence
“Entertaining as well as thought-provoking, Chancing It is a practical guide to the uses and misuses of the science of probability. Alive with anecdotes and provocative in its insights, Matthews’s book will prove invaluable to both laymen and scientists, and to anyone trying to make sense of the daily news.”
―Amir Alexander, author of Infinitesimal
“To survive in the contemporary world no one―from CEOs of major corporations to ordinary citizens―can afford to remain ignorant of chance and uncertainty. Robert Matthews not only reveals the ‘laws of chance’ but cogently explains why no fashionable computer algorithm or mathematical model will ever succeed in totally banishing risk.”
―William Byers, author of The Blind Spot: Science and the Crisis of Uncertainty and How Mathematicians Think
“Robert Matthews is able to choose just the right fascinating anecdotes to illustrate how complex concepts of probability and statistics apply―or sometimes fail to apply―to everyday life. Chancing It clearly explains why we need to be very careful when evaluating probabilistic and statistical claims from journalists, doctors, scientists and salespeople. It is a pleasure to read.”
―Avner Ash, coauthor of Summing It Up: From One Plus One to Modern Number Theory
“Outstanding...an extraordinary writer.... At a time when mathematics needs charismatic ambassadors more than ever, Matthews has written a book of great significance.”
―Oliver Moody, The Times
“Beguiling ... Matthews has the knack of explaining things clearly for the non-specialist, leavening the formulae with intriguing snippets of history and biography ... his enthusiasm contributes to a lively and fascinating narrative.”
―Ian Critchley, Sunday Times
“An excellent handbook for addressing the seemingly illogical logic of chance.”
―Ian Simmons, Fortean Times
“If you’ve ever wondered what is so amazing about an ‘amazing coincidence,’ or what exactly is the First Law of Lawlessness, this is your book. Written in an engaging, informative and humorous style, you’ll learn everything you need to know about the laws of chance, the probabilities of winning the lottery, and the exaggerated―and often misleading―claims about the nature of randomness. Highly recommended!”
―Eli Maor, author of e: the Story of a Number
“Chancing It takes the reader on a delightful tour of probability, offering insights along the way on everything from casinos to insurance to the wisdom of crowds. Matthews combines wonderful anecdotes with clear analysis, giving the reader an excellent overview of what numbers can tell us―and also what they cannot.”
―Charles Wheelan, author of Naked Economics and Naked Statistics
“I’ll never bet on a sporting event, play Vegas blackjack, analyze statistics, or think about how lives turn out the same way again after reading Robert Matthews’s illuminating and important book on the laws of chance and how they work in the real world. Every chapter contains a straightforward explanation of an important concept and a lesson on how to apply it to your life. I learned something new on nearly every fact-filled page. A delightful read.”
―Michael Shermer, columnist for Scientific American and author of Why People Believe Weird Things
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