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Published by Random House Trade Paperbacks, 2010
ISBN 10: 081297381XISBN 13: 9780812973815
Seller: Goodwill of Colorado, COLORADO SPRINGS, CO, U.S.A.
Book
paperback. Condition: Good. This item is in overall good condition. Covers and dust jackets are intact but may have minor wear including slight curls or bends to corners as well as cosmetic blemishes including stickers. Pages are intact but may have minor highlighting/ writing. Binding is intact; however, spine may have slight wear overall. Digital codes may not be included and have not been tested to be redeemable and/or active. Minor shelf wear overall. Please note that all items are donated goods and are in used condition. Orders shipped Monday through Friday! Your purchase helps put people to work and learn life skills to reach their full potential. Orders shipped Monday through Friday. Your purchase helps put people to work and learn life skills to reach their full potential. Thank you!.
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Published by Random House, 2007
ISBN 10: 1400063515ISBN 13: 9781400063512
Seller: ThriftBooks-Atlanta, AUSTELL, GA, U.S.A.
Book
Hardcover. Condition: Good. No Jacket. Missing dust jacket; Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 1.5.
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Published by Penguin Books Ltd, United Kingdom, London, 2008
ISBN 10: 0141034599ISBN 13: 9780141034591
Seller: WorldofBooks, Goring-By-Sea, WS, United Kingdom
Book
Paperback. Condition: Very Good. The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. 'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide . I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday 'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged.
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Published by Allen Lane, 2007
ISBN 10: 0713999950ISBN 13: 9780713999952
Seller: WeBuyBooks, Rossendale, LANCS, United Kingdom
Book
Condition: Good. Most items will be dispatched the same or the next working day.
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Published by Allen Lane, 2007
ISBN 10: 1846140854ISBN 13: 9781846140853
Seller: WorldofBooks, Goring-By-Sea, WS, United Kingdom
Book
Paperback. Condition: Very Good. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged.
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Published by Not Avail, 2008
ISBN 10: 0812979184ISBN 13: 9780812979183
Seller: ThriftBooks-Atlanta, AUSTELL, GA, U.S.A.
Book
Paperback. Condition: Good. No Jacket. Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 0.7.
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Published by Macat, 2017
ISBN 10: 1912128209ISBN 13: 9781912128204
Seller: GreatBookPrices, Columbia, MD, U.S.A.
Book
Condition: New.
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Published by Random House, 2007
ISBN 10: 1400063515ISBN 13: 9781400063512
Book First Edition
Hardcover. Condition: Very Good. Dust Jacket Condition: Very Good. First Edition; Thirty-Second Printing. Pages have yellowed. Great overall condition. Minor cosmetic wear. No noteworthy blemishes. No writing.; Incerto.
Published by Allen Lane, 2011
ISBN 10: 1846145651ISBN 13: 9781846145650
Seller: WeBuyBooks, Rossendale, LANCS, United Kingdom
Book
Condition: VeryGood. Most items will be dispatched the same or the next working day.
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Published by Allen Lane, 2007
ISBN 10: 1846140455ISBN 13: 9781846140457
Seller: WeBuyBooks, Rossendale, LANCS, United Kingdom
Book
Condition: Good. Most items will be dispatched the same or the next working day.
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Later printing. Small binders error to front board resulting in small bubble, else fine in fine dust jacket, in mylar cover.
Published by Random House, NY, 2010
Seller: M & M Books, ATHENS, GA, U.S.A.
Book
Paperback. Condition: Fine. No Jacket. 2nd Edition.
Published by Random House, 2007. 366 pp., 2007
Seller: Antiquariaat Hortus Conclusus, Den Haag, Netherlands
Original cloth with dustjacket, a very good / fine copy. Text in English. Please see description or ask for photos.
Published by Recorded Books, Inc., 2007
ISBN 10: 1428166556ISBN 13: 9781428166554
Seller: medimops, Berlin, Germany
Book
Befriedigend/Good: Durchschnittlich erhaltenes Buch bzw. Schutzumschlag mit Gebrauchsspuren, aber vollständigen Seiten. / Describes the average WORN book or dust jacket that has all the pages present.
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Published by Diamond Inc/Tsai Fong Books, 2009
ISBN 10: 4478001251ISBN 13: 9784478001257
Seller: HPB-Red, Dallas, TX, U.S.A.
Book
Hardcover. Condition: Good. Connecting readers with great books since 1972! Used textbooks may not include companion materials such as access codes, etc. May have some wear or writing/highlighting. We ship orders daily and Customer Service is our top priority!.
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Published by ?????, 2011
ISBN 10: 7508630300ISBN 13: 9787508630304
Seller: HPB-Red, Dallas, TX, U.S.A.
Book
Paperback. Condition: Acceptable. Connecting readers with great books since 1972. Used textbooks may not include companion materials such as access codes, etc. May have condition issues including wear and notes/highlighting. We ship orders daily and Customer Service is our top priority!.
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Tapa Dura. Condition: Bien. Texto en inglés. Tapa dura con sobrecubierta de editorial ilustrada. Sin subrayados ni anotaciones. Perfecto estado de conservación. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own personal lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. And why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur? As Nassim Nicholas Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and shows us how to face the world.
Published by Macat International Limited, 2017
ISBN 10: 1912302322ISBN 13: 9781912302321
Seller: THE SAINT BOOKSTORE, Southport, United Kingdom
Book
Hardback. Condition: New. New copy - Usually dispatched within 4 working days.
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Published by Random House Publishing Group, 2010
Seller: Book Broker, Berlin, Germany
Book
Condition: Gut. 2nd edition. 480 S. Alle Bücher & Medienartikel von Book Broker sind stets in gutem & sehr gutem gebrauchsfähigen Zustand. Unser Produktfoto entspricht dem hier angebotenen Artikel, dieser weist folgende Merkmale auf: Helle/saubere Seiten in fester Bindung. Leichte Gebrauchsspuren. Sprache: Englisch Gewicht in Gramm: 300 Taschenbuch, Maße: 13.08 cm x 2.54 cm x 20.19 cm.
Published by penguin books, England, 2007
Seller: JP Livres, Agde, France
Book
Couverture souple. Condition: Bon. Anglais.366 p.Poids 350 gr.Format 20 x 13 cm.
Published by Diamond Inc., 2009
ISBN 10: 4478008884ISBN 13: 9784478008881
Seller: Revaluation Books, Exeter, United Kingdom
Book
Hardcover. Condition: Brand New. 336 pages. Japanese language. 7.72x5.43x1.02 inches. In Stock.
Seller: Bookmanns UK Based, Family Run Business., BOLTON, United Kingdom
Condition: Compact For Travelling. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable [Paperback] Taleb, Nassim Nicholas.
Published by Random House, 2010
Seller: Librodifaccia, Alessandria, AL, Italy
Condition: Buone. inglese Condizioni dell'esterno: Discrete con difetti, segni d'uso macchie Condizioni dell'interno: Buone.
Published by ST PAUL PR, 2015
ISBN 10: 1522762922ISBN 13: 9781522762928
Seller: Buchpark, Trebbin, Germany
Book
Condition: Sehr gut. Zustand: Sehr gut - Gepflegter, sauberer Zustand. | Seiten: 40 | Sprache: Englisch.
Published by Penguin Books, UK, 2007
Seller: Eaglestones, Oudtshoorn, South Africa
Book
Soft cover. Condition: Very Good. No Jacket. The Black Swan. The impact of the highly improbable. A clean and tightly bound book.
Published by GRIN Verlag, 2012
ISBN 10: 365632266XISBN 13: 9783656322665
Seller: AHA-BUCH GmbH, Einbeck, Germany
Book
Taschenbuch. Condition: Neu. Druck auf Anfrage Neuware - Printed after ordering - Master's Thesis from the year 2012 in the subject Business economics - Business Management, Corporate Governance, grade: excellent, Corvinus University Budapest (School of Management), language: English, abstract: The paper is the result of the attempt to subject the socio-economic world of energy to an analysis regarding a phenomenon called the 'Black Swan'. This concept has been made popular by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, who has become a popular point of reference ever since the beginning of the financial crisis in 2007. Based on his work, the paper first defines the concept of the 'Black Swan' as an extremely unlikely high impact event, which is evidently unpredictable ex ante; however, is regarded as potentially avoidable by most observers ex post facto. The underlying assumption is, that against commonly held believe, it is not a long chain of incremental and statistically relevantly many events that makes history, but a seemingly insignificant number of outliers, or hence, 'Black Swans'. Consequently, in its second part the paper focuses on a critical examination of the strategic prediction models used in the energy business today, which are mainly based on driver based models. Relying on Gaussian Bell Curve type normal distributions in order to predict future supply and demand, these models try to predict future price and value chain developments, ultimately searching for a strategic direction. Using historic data and experiences in order to review to what extent the 'Black Swan' influenced the development of the energy world in the past, the paper questions this approach by showing that time and again similar predictions have been rendered obsolete by real developments. In order to apply the necessary methodological rigor, 'Black Swans' and their impact are measured according to predefined criteria and indicators, elaborated in the first part of the paper. These indicators are mainly qualitative, however, as an empirical anchor the paper uses the historical development of the oil price, focusing on peaks and lows. The most striking historical cases of sudden price rise or decline are examined in detail in order to find commonalities and differences. Finally, based on the findings of this historical analysis, the paper raises the question, whether it is possible to draw any practical conclusions for the future, looking for methods, which could provide protection from 'Black Swan' events.
Published by Penguin UK, 2008
Seller: Collectors' Bookstore, Deurne, Belgium
Book First Edition
Paperback. Condition: Fine. First Edition. First Edition thus, very fine condition. The Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable Special Collection by Nassim Taleb. Published by Penguin UK in 2008. Paperback. The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. their impact is huge; theyre impossible to pred. Collectible item in excellent condition.
Published by Random House, 2008
Seller: Collectors' Bookstore, Deurne, Belgium
Book First Edition
Paperback. Condition: Fine. First Edition. First Edition thus, very fine condition. The Black Swan; The Impact of the Highly Improbable Special Collection by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Published by Random House in 2008. Paperback. In the author's point of view, a black swan is an improbable event with three principal characteristics - It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictabl. Collectible item in excellent condition.
Published by Independently Published, 2007
Seller: Collectors' Bookstore, Deurne, Belgium
Book First Edition
Hardcover. Condition: Fine. First Edition. First Edition thus, very fine condition. The Black Swan The Impact of the Highly Improbable Special Collection by Nassim Nicholas Taleb. Published by Independently Published in 2007. Hardcover. Examines the role of the unexpected-the Black Swan-in both life and human history, explaining how the phenomenon and its applications affect every aspect of the world in which we live, why humans are unable to anticipate a Black Swan, and how we rationalize the phenomenon to make it appear less random. 50,000 first printing. Collectible item in excellent condition.
Published by Random House Trade Paperbacks, 1970
ISBN 10: 0679604189ISBN 13: 9780679604181
Seller: Ammareal, Morangis, France
Book
No jacket. Condition: Bon. Traces d'usure sur la couverture. Sans jaquette. Ammareal reverse jusqu'à 15% du prix net de ce livre à des organisations caritatives. ENGLISH DESCRIPTION Book Condition: Used, Good. Signs of wear on the cover. No dust jacket. Ammareal gives back up to 15% of this book's net price to charity organizations.