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Condition: Very Good. Most items will be dispatched the same or the next working day. A copy that has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged.
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Prejudice, Politics, and the American Dilemma
Published by Stanford University Press, 1994
ISBN 10: 0804724822 ISBN 13: 9780804724821
Language: English
Seller: THE SAINT BOOKSTORE, Southport, United Kingdom
Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars
Paperback / softback. Condition: Good. Used copy in good condition - Usually dispatched within 3 working days. 999.
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Superforecasting : The Art and Science of Prediction
Published by Penguin Random House, 2015
ISBN 10: 184794714X ISBN 13: 9781847947147
Language: English
Seller: Better World Books Ltd, Dunfermline, United Kingdom
Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars
Condition: Very Good. Ships from the UK. Used book that is in excellent condition. May show signs of wear or have minor defects.
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Reasoning and Choice: Explorations in Political Psychology (Cambridge Studies in Public Opinion and Political Psychology)
Published by Cambridge University Press (edition Reprint), 1993
ISBN 10: 0521407702 ISBN 13: 9780521407700
Language: English
£ 2.75
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Add to basketPaperback. Condition: Good. Reprint. Ship within 24hrs. Satisfaction 100% guaranteed. APO/FPO addresses supported.
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Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics : Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives
Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
ISBN 10: 0691027919 ISBN 13: 9780691027913
Language: English
Seller: Better World Books Ltd, Dunfermline, United Kingdom
Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars
Condition: Good. Ships from the UK. Former library book; may include library markings. Used book that is in clean, average condition without any missing pages.
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Seller: WorldofBooks, Goring-By-Sea, WS, United Kingdom
Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars
Paperback. Condition: Very Good. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged.
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Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
Published by Princeton University Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0691128715 ISBN 13: 9780691128719
Language: English
Condition: Very Good. 1747995331. 5/23/2025 10:15:31 AM.
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Superforecasting : The Art and Science of Prediction
First Edition
£ 5.75
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Add to basketCondition: Good. First Edition. Former library book; may include library markings. Used book that is in clean, average condition without any missing pages.
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Expert Political Judgment : How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
Published by Princeton University Press, 2005
ISBN 10: 0691123020 ISBN 13: 9780691123028
Language: English
£ 6.63
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Add to basketCondition: Good. Former library book; may include library markings. Used book that is in clean, average condition without any missing pages.
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Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War
Published by Oxford University Press, Incorporated, 1990
ISBN 10: 019505766X ISBN 13: 9780195057669
Language: English
£ 8.39
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Add to basketCondition: Good. Former library book; may include library markings. Used book that is in clean, average condition without any missing pages.
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Superforecasting : The Art and Science of Prediction
Published by Crown Publishing Group, The, 2015
ISBN 10: 0804136696 ISBN 13: 9780804136693
Language: English
£ 9.04
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Add to basketCondition: Good. Used book that is in clean, average condition without any missing pages.
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Reasoning and Choice : Explorations in Political Psychology
Published by Cambridge University Press, 1991
ISBN 10: 0521402557 ISBN 13: 9780521402552
Language: English
£ 9.58
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Add to basketCondition: Very Good. Used book that is in excellent condition. May show signs of wear or have minor defects.
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HBR's 10 Must Reads on Managing Risk (with bonus article "Managing 21st-Century Political Risk" by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart)
Published by Harvard Business Review Press, US, 2020
ISBN 10: 1633698866 ISBN 13: 9781633698864
Language: English
Paperback. Condition: New. Is your business playing it safeand#8212or taking the right risks?If you read nothing else on managing risk, read these 10 articles. We've combed through hundreds of Harvard Business Review articles and selected the most important ones to help your company make smart decisions and thrive, even when the future is unclear.This book will inspire you to:Avoid the most common errors in risk managementUnderstand the three distinct categories of risk and tailor your risk-management processes accordinglyEmbrace uncertainty as a key element of breakthrough innovationAdopt best practices for mitigating political threatsUpgrade your organization's forecasting capabilities to gain a competitive edgeDetect and neutralize cyberattacks originating inside your companyThis collection of articles includes "Managing Risks: A New Framework," by Robert S. Kaplan and Anette Mikes; "How to Build Risk into Your Business Model," by Karan Girotra and Serguei Netessine; "The Six Mistakes Executives Make in Risk Management," by Nassim N. Taleb, Daniel G. Goldstein, and Mark W. Spitznagel; "From Superstorms to Factory Fires: Managing Unpredictable Supply-Chain Disruptions," by David Simchi-Levi, William Schmidt, and Yehua Wei; "Is It Real? Can We Win? Is It Worth Doing?: Managing Risk and Reward in an Innovation Portfolio," by George S. Day; "Superforecasting: How to Upgrade Your Company's Judgment," by Paul J. H. Schoemaker and Philip E. Tetlock; "Managing 21st-Century Political Risk," by Condoleezza Rice and Amy Zegart; "How to Scandal-Proof Your Company," by Paul Healy and George Serafeim; "Beating the Odds When You Launch a New Venture," by Clark Gilbert and Matthew Eyring; "The Danger from Within," by David M. Upton and Sadie Creese; and "Future-Proof Your Climate Strategy," by Joseph E. Aldy and Gianfranco Gianfrate.
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Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know? - New Edition
Published by Princeton University Press (edition New), 2017
ISBN 10: 0691175977 ISBN 13: 9780691175973
Language: English
£ 12.32
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Add to basketPaperback. Condition: Very Good. New. Ship within 24hrs. Satisfaction 100% guaranteed. APO/FPO addresses supported.
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£ 5.38
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Add to basketCondition: very good. Gut/Very good: Buch bzw. Schutzumschlag mit wenigen Gebrauchsspuren an Einband, Schutzumschlag oder Seiten. / Describes a book or dust jacket that does show some signs of wear on either the binding, dust jacket or pages.
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£ 11.28
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Add to basketCondition: Good. Used book that is in clean, average condition without any missing pages.
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The Clash of Rights: Liberty, Equality, and Legitimacy in Pluralist Democracy
Published by Yale University Press, 1996
ISBN 10: 0300069812 ISBN 13: 9780300069815
Language: English
Seller: Wonder Book, Frederick, MD, U.S.A.
Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars
£ 4.57
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Add to basketCondition: Very Good. Very Good condition. A copy that may have a few cosmetic defects. May also contain light spine creasing or a few markings such as an owner's name, short gifter's inscription or light stamp.
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Learning In U.s. And Soviet Foreign Policy
Seller: Wonder Book, Frederick, MD, U.S.A.
Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars
£ 5.52
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Add to basketCondition: Good. Good condition. A copy that has been read but remains intact. May contain markings such as bookplates, stamps, limited notes and highlighting, or a few light stains.
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Unmaking the West : What-if? Scenarios That Rewrite World History
Published by University of Michigan Press, 2006
ISBN 10: 0472031430 ISBN 13: 9780472031436
Language: English
Seller: GreatBookPricesUK, Woodford Green, United Kingdom
Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars
£ 33.10
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction.
Published by New York: Crown, 2015
Language: English
Seller: Antiquariat Thomas Haker GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin, Germany
Association Member: GIAQ
Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars
£ 13.39
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Add to basketSoftcover. Condition: Gut. 352 p. Good. Cover shows mild wear. Clean pages. Sprache: Englisch Gewicht in Gramm: 520.
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Behavior Society and Nuclear War. (Behavior, Society, & Nuclear War, Vol. 1).
Published by New York, Oxford University Press., 1989
Language: English
Seller: Antiquariat Thomas Haker GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin, Germany
Association Member: GIAQ
Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars
£ 16.07
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Add to basketPaperback. Condition: Gut. 401 p. Isolated penciled marks, otherwise good condition. Sprache: Englisch Gewicht in Gramm: 530.
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£ 7.14
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Add to basketHardcover. Condition: Fine. Leichte Risse; Farbveranderung durch Alter/Sonne. Schopnost predpovidat budoucnost by byla pro kazdeho z nas cenna, at uz pri investicich, uvadeni novych produktu na trh nebo planovani osobnich aktivit. Avsak lide obvykle nejsou dobri prognostici. Profesor Tetlock ve sve studii z roku 2005 ukazal, ze i odborne predpovedi jsou casto jen o neco lepsi nez nahoda. Nekteri lide vsak maji vyjimecnou schopnost predpovidat budoucnost, a Tetlock se posledni dekadu snazil zjistit, proc tomu tak je a zda se to da naucit.Tetlock a novinar Dan Gardner prinaseji mistrovske dilo o predpovidani, ktere vychazi z dlouholeteho vyzkumu a velke prognosticke souteze, kterou podporila americka vlada. Projekt Dobry usudek zapojil desitky tisic obycejnych lidi, kteri meli za ukol predpovidat svetove udalosti. Nekteri z nich byli prekvapive uspesni a prekonali nejen ostatni ucastniky, ale i akademicke experty a analytiky zpravodajskych sluzeb.Autori ukazuji, co se muzeme naucit od techto ,superpredpovidacu" a prinaseji pribehy uspesnych i neuspesnych predpovedi. Dobreho predpovidani lze dosahnout sberem informaci z ruznych zdroju, pravdepodobnostnim uvazovanim, tymovou praci a ochotou pripustit chybu. Kniha predstavuje efektivni a vedecky podlozenou metodu, jak zlepsit schopnosti predvidat budouci udalosti v byznysu, politice i kazdodennim zivote.
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Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics: Logical, Methodological, and Psychological Perspectives.
Published by Princeton University Press, 1996
Language: English
Seller: Antiquariat Thomas Haker GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin, Germany
Association Member: GIAQ
Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars
£ 19.65
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Add to basketSoftcover. Condition: Gut. 356 p. Good. Cover shows mild wear. Clean pages. Sprache: Englisch Gewicht in Gramm: 610.
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£ 20.45
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Behavior, Society, and International Conflict
Published by Oxford University Press, Incorporated, 1993
ISBN 10: 0195057708 ISBN 13: 9780195057706
Language: English
£ 32.98
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Behavior, Society, and Nuclear War: Volume II
Published by Oxford University Press, 1990
ISBN 10: 0195057678 ISBN 13: 9780195057676
Language: English
£ 15.27
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Add to basketHardcover. Condition: Very Good. cover shows minor shelf wear. pages are clean and unmarked. 2 2.
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£ 13.39
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Add to basketRústica con solapas. Condition: Buen estado. Libro.
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Prejudice, Politics, and the American Dilemma
Published by Stanford University Press, 1993
ISBN 10: 0804721327 ISBN 13: 9780804721325
Language: English
£ 8.40
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Add to basketHardcover. Condition: Good.
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Expert Political Judgment. How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
Published by Princeton University Press, 2006
£ 8.89
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Add to basketEncuadernación de tapa blanda. Condition: Aceptable.
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£ 16.12
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Add to basketCondition: New. Idioma/Language: Español. Cada vez más, la sociedad contemporánea pide a los "expertos" predicciones sobre el futuro, y sobre esas predicciones se toman decisiones geopolíticas, de políticas públicas, de inversión, etcétera. Sin embargo, Philip Tetlock y su coautor Dan Gardner muestran, con un impresionante corpus de evidencia empírica recogida a lo largo de años de investigación, que los "pronosticadores expertos" tienen la misma posibilidad de acertar un evento futuro que un chimpancé. En contraposición, los autores se centran en estudiar a los "superpronosticadores": personas que tienen una gran capacidad de predicción. Y, curiosamente, esas personas son "gente común", no son especialistas, ni tienen acceso a información privilegiada. Porque predecir bien el futuro, enseña 'Superpronosticadores', tiene que ver con "un modo de pensar", esto es, con una mente abierta, cuidadosa, curiosa y autocrítica, que realiza una predicción inicial y luego meticulosamente la ajusta en función de cada nueva evidencia o información relacionada con el tema. *** Nota: Los envíos a España peninsular, Baleares y Canarias se realizan a través de mensajería urgente. No aceptamos pedidos con destino a Ceuta y Melilla.
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