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£ 5.22
Convert currency£ 4.16 shipping from U.S.A. to United KingdomQuantity: 1 available
Add to basketPaperback. Condition: Good. No Jacket. Pages can have notes/highlighting. Spine may show signs of wear. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less 0.62.
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Superforecasting
Published by Random House Books (edition ), 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158 ISBN 13: 9781847947154
Language: English
£ 5.65
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Add to basketPaperback. Condition: Good. Ship within 24hrs. Satisfaction 100% guaranteed. APO/FPO addresses supported.
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Published by Crown (edition F First Edition), 2015
ISBN 10: 0804136696 ISBN 13: 9780804136693
Language: English
£ 6.64
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Add to basketHardcover. Condition: Very Good. F First Edition. With dust jacket Ship within 24hrs. Satisfaction 100% guaranteed. APO/FPO addresses supported.
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Superforecasting : The Art and Science of Prediction
Published by Crown Publishing Group, The, 2016
ISBN 10: 0804136718 ISBN 13: 9780804136716
Language: English
£ 7.30
Convert currency£ 3.99 shipping from U.S.A. to United KingdomQuantity: 1 available
Add to basketCondition: Good. Used book that is in clean, average condition without any missing pages.
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Superforecasting : The Art and Science of Prediction
First Edition
£ 6.02
Convert currency£ 5.50 shipping from U.S.A. to United KingdomQuantity: 1 available
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£ 12.36
Convert currency£ 6.64 shipping from U.S.A. to United KingdomQuantity: 1 available
Add to basketCondition: Good. Used book that is in clean, average condition without any missing pages.
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction.
Published by New York: Crown, 2015
Language: English
Seller: Antiquariat Thomas Haker GmbH & Co. KG, Berlin, Germany
Association Member: GIAQ
Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars
£ 13.23
Convert currency£ 9.42 shipping from Germany to United KingdomQuantity: 1 available
Add to basketSoftcover. Condition: Gut. 352 p. Good. Cover shows mild wear. Clean pages. Sprache: Englisch Gewicht in Gramm: 520.
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£ 15.92
Convert currency£ 7.58 shipping from Spain to United KingdomQuantity: 1 available
Add to basketCondition: New. Idioma/Language: Español. Cada vez más, la sociedad contemporánea pide a los "expertos" predicciones sobre el futuro, y sobre esas predicciones se toman decisiones geopolíticas, de políticas públicas, de inversión, etcétera. Sin embargo, Philip Tetlock y su coautor Dan Gardner muestran, con un impresionante corpus de evidencia empírica recogida a lo largo de años de investigación, que los "pronosticadores expertos" tienen la misma posibilidad de acertar un evento futuro que un chimpancé. En contraposición, los autores se centran en estudiar a los "superpronosticadores": personas que tienen una gran capacidad de predicción. Y, curiosamente, esas personas son "gente común", no son especialistas, ni tienen acceso a información privilegiada. Porque predecir bien el futuro, enseña 'Superpronosticadores', tiene que ver con "un modo de pensar", esto es, con una mente abierta, cuidadosa, curiosa y autocrítica, que realiza una predicción inicial y luego meticulosamente la ajusta en función de cada nueva evidencia o información relacionada con el tema. *** Nota: Los envíos a España peninsular, Baleares y Canarias se realizan a través de mensajería urgente. No aceptamos pedidos con destino a Ceuta y Melilla.
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Superprevisões: A Arte e A Ciencia de Antecipar
Published by Objetiva, 2016
ISBN 10: 8547000011 ISBN 13: 9788547000011
£ 23.96
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Add to basketPaperback. Condition: New. New; Pesquisas de ponta, histórias de sucesso e entrevistas mostram aquilo que realmente faz a diferença quando queremos prever o futuro.Todas as nossas decisões envolvem prognósticos sobre o futuro - agimos com base em previsões implícitas do que provavelmente vai acontecer. O problemaé que costumamos errar muito mais do que acertar. Em um estudo que durou vinte anos, o psicólogo e cientista social Philip Tetlock demonstrou que, ao prever o futuro, um especialista é apenas um pouco melhor do que um leigo. No entanto, com base nos resultados de uma pesquisa inovadora, Tetlock provou que alguns indivíduos têm uma extraordinária habilidade de previsão 60% mais precisa que a média. Superprevisões revela os segredos desse grupo de elite e oferece conselhos práticos sobre como podemos usá-los em benefício próprio.; 352 pages.
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Supervoorspellers : goed voorspellen is een manier van denken en iedereen kan het leren
Published by Atlas Contact, Uitgeverij, 2015
ISBN 10: 9047006534 ISBN 13: 9789047006534
Language: Dutch
£ 36.45
Convert currency£ 7.62 shipping from Germany to United KingdomQuantity: 1 available
Add to basketCondition: Gut. Zustand: Gut | Seiten: 320 | Sprache: Niederländisch | Produktart: Bücher.
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Konsten att förutsäga framtiden. En bok om superprognostik.
Seller: Antikvariat Faust, Göteborg, Sweden
Seller rating 4 out of 5 stars
£ 11.90
Convert currency£ 18.84 shipping from Sweden to United KingdomQuantity: 1 available
Add to basketDaidalos, Göteborg 2016. 379 sidor. Förlagsband med skyddsomslag. Gott skick. ISBN 9789171734853. Originalets titel: Superforecasting. The art and science of prediction. Översatt av Henrik Gundenäs.
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Superforecasting Die Kunst der richtigen Prognose Philip E. Tetlock/Dan Gardner ; aus dem Englischen von Jürgen Neubauer
Seller: Antiquariat Mäander Quell, Waldshut-Tiengen, Germany
Seller rating 5 out of 5 stars
£ 60.94
Convert currency£ 22.26 shipping from Germany to United KingdomQuantity: 1 available
Add to basketCondition: Gut. 1. 336 S. Gebrauchtes Exemplar in gutem Zustand. KEINE Eintragungen/Markierungen. - Wir versenden aus unserem deutschen Lager heraus in plastikfreien oder wiederverwendeten Polstertaschen. Sprache: Deutsch Gewicht in Gramm: 500 Gebundene Ausgabe, Maße: 15.5 cm x 2.6 cm x 21.8 cm.
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Superpronosticadores. El arte y la ciencia de la predicción
Published by Katz Editores, 2017
Language: Spanish
£ 100.37
Convert currency£ 40.60 shipping from U.S.A. to United KingdomQuantity: 5 available
Add to basketSoft cover. Condition: New.
