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Book Description Hardcover. Condition: New. Annotated. The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we dont know, now with a new section called On Robustness and Fragility.A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives.Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we dont know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the impossible.For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, On Robustness and Fragility, which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world.Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark book-itself a black swan. Seller Inventory # DADAX1400063515
Book Description Condition: New. Seller Inventory # 4861410-n
Book Description hardback. Condition: New. Language: ENG. Seller Inventory # 9781400063512
Book Description Hardback or Cased Book. Condition: New. The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable 1.49. Book. Seller Inventory # BBS-9781400063512
Book Description Condition: New. Seller Inventory # I-9781400063512
Book Description HRD. Condition: New. New Book. Shipped from UK. Established seller since 2000. Seller Inventory # IB-9781400063512
Book Description Condition: New. pp. 480 2nd Edition. Seller Inventory # 261057694
Book Description Condition: New. Seller Inventory # 4861410-n
Book Description Condition: New. . Seller Inventory # 52GZZZ00LNCN_ns
Book Description Condition: New. 2007. Annotated. Hardcover. . . . . . Seller Inventory # V9781400063512