The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction

3.96 avg rating
( 27,916 ratings by GoodReads )
 
9780141975658: The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction

Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society.

In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every single state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make better predictions in our own lives.

"synopsis" may belong to another edition of this title.

Review:

Outstanding... I was hooked (Tim Harford Financial Times)

One of the more momentous books of the decade ( The New York Times Book Review)

A lucid explanation of how to think probabilistically ( Guardian)

The inhabitants of Westminster are speed-reading The Signal and the Noise... They will find the book remarkable and rewarding ( Sunday Telegraph)

Is there anything now that Nate Silver could tell us that we wouldn't believe? ( Jonathan Freedland)

Fascinating... our age's Brunel (Bryan Appleyard Sunday Times)

A surprisingly accessible peek into the world of mathematical probability (Daily Telegraph)

The Galileo of number crunchers ( Independent)

A 34-year old Delphic Oracle ( Daily Beast)

About the Author:

Nate Silver is a statistician and political forecaster at The New York Times. In 2012, he correctly predicted the outcome of 50 out of 50 states during the US presidential election, trumping the professional pollsters and pundits. He was named one of TIME's 100 Most Influential People in the world, and one of Rolling Stones' top Agents of Change. He lives in Brooklyn, New York.

"About this title" may belong to another edition of this title.

Top Search Results from the AbeBooks Marketplace

1.

Silver, Nate
Published by Penguin Books Ltd, United Kingdom (2015)
ISBN 10: 0141975652 ISBN 13: 9780141975658
New Paperback Quantity Available: 10
Seller
The Book Depository
(London, United Kingdom)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Penguin Books Ltd, United Kingdom, 2015. Paperback. Book Condition: New. 196 x 128 mm. Language: English . Brand New Book. Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every single state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider s tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make better predictions in our own lives. Bookseller Inventory # APG9780141975658

More Information About This Seller | Ask Bookseller a Question

Buy New
8.95
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: FREE
From United Kingdom to U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

2.

Silver, Nate
Published by Penguin Books Ltd, United Kingdom (2015)
ISBN 10: 0141975652 ISBN 13: 9780141975658
New Paperback Quantity Available: 10
Seller
The Book Depository US
(London, United Kingdom)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Penguin Books Ltd, United Kingdom, 2015. Paperback. Book Condition: New. 196 x 128 mm. Language: English . Brand New Book. Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. In The Signal and the Noise, the New York Times political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every single state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider s tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make better predictions in our own lives. Bookseller Inventory # APG9780141975658

More Information About This Seller | Ask Bookseller a Question

Buy New
9.62
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: FREE
From United Kingdom to U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

3.

Silver, Nate
ISBN 10: 0141975652 ISBN 13: 9780141975658
New Quantity Available: > 20
Seller
BWB
(Valley Stream, NY, U.S.A.)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Book Condition: New. Depending on your location, this item may ship from the US or UK. Bookseller Inventory # 97801419756580000000

More Information About This Seller | Ask Bookseller a Question

Buy New
9.62
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: FREE
Within U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

4.

Silver, Nate
Published by Penguin 2013-04-18 (2013)
ISBN 10: 0141975652 ISBN 13: 9780141975658
New Quantity Available: 5
Seller
Chiron Media
(Wallingford, United Kingdom)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Penguin 2013-04-18, 2013. Book Condition: New. Brand new book, sourced directly from publisher. Dispatch time is 24-48 hours from our warehouse. Book will be sent in robust, secure packaging to ensure it reaches you securely. Bookseller Inventory # NU-GRD-04971921

More Information About This Seller | Ask Bookseller a Question

Buy New
7.79
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: 2.99
From United Kingdom to U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

5.

Silver, Nate
Published by Penguin Books Ltd (2013)
ISBN 10: 0141975652 ISBN 13: 9780141975658
New Softcover Quantity Available: 1
Seller
Book Deals
(Lewiston, NY, U.S.A.)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Penguin Books Ltd, 2013. Book Condition: New. Brand New, Unread Copy in Perfect Condition. A+ Customer Service!. Bookseller Inventory # ABE_book_new_0141975652

More Information About This Seller | Ask Bookseller a Question

Buy New
11.32
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: FREE
Within U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

6.

Silver, Nate
Published by Penguin Books Ltd
ISBN 10: 0141975652 ISBN 13: 9780141975658
New Paperback Quantity Available: 3
Seller
THE SAINT BOOKSTORE
(Southport, United Kingdom)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Penguin Books Ltd. Paperback. Book Condition: new. BRAND NEW, The Signal and the Noise: The Art and Science of Prediction, Nate Silver, Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. In "The Signal and the Noise", the "New York Times" political forecaster Nate Silver, who accurately predicted the results of every single state in the 2012 US election, reveals how we can all develop better foresight in an uncertain world. From the stock market to the poker table, from earthquakes to the economy, he takes us on an enthralling insider's tour of the high-stakes world of forecasting, showing how we can use information in a smarter way amid a noise of data - and make better predictions in our own lives. Bookseller Inventory # B9780141975658

More Information About This Seller | Ask Bookseller a Question

Buy New
5.57
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: 5.94
From United Kingdom to U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

7.

Silver, Nate
ISBN 10: 0141975652 ISBN 13: 9780141975658
New Paperback Quantity Available: 1
Seller
Grand Eagle Retail
(Wilmington, DE, U.S.A.)
Rating
[?]

Book Description 2013. Paperback. Book Condition: New. 129mm x 198mm x 23mm. Paperback. Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis .Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability. 544 pages. 0.372. Bookseller Inventory # 9780141975658

More Information About This Seller | Ask Bookseller a Question

Buy New
11.75
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: FREE
Within U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

8.

Silver, Nate
ISBN 10: 0141975652 ISBN 13: 9780141975658
New Paperback Quantity Available: > 20
Seller
Ria Christie Collections
(Uxbridge, United Kingdom)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Paperback. Book Condition: New. Not Signed; Every time we choose a route to work, decide whether to go on a second date, or set aside money for a rainy day, we are making a prediction about the future. Yet from the financial crisis to ecological disasters, we routinely fail to foresee hugely significant events, often at great cost to society. book. Bookseller Inventory # ria9780141975658_rkm

More Information About This Seller | Ask Bookseller a Question

Buy New
8.97
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: 3.34
From United Kingdom to U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

9.

Silver, Nate
Published by Penguin Books Ltd 2013-04-18, London (2013)
ISBN 10: 0141975652 ISBN 13: 9780141975658
New paperback Quantity Available: 10
Seller
Blackwell's
(Oxford, OX, United Kingdom)
Rating
[?]

Book Description Penguin Books Ltd 2013-04-18, London, 2013. paperback. Book Condition: New. Bookseller Inventory # 9780141975658

More Information About This Seller | Ask Bookseller a Question

Buy New
9.38
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: 4.50
From United Kingdom to U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

10.

Silver, Nate
Published by Penguin (2013)
ISBN 10: 0141975652 ISBN 13: 9780141975658
New Softcover Quantity Available: 2
Seller
Rating
[?]

Book Description Penguin, 2013. Book Condition: New. Bookseller Inventory # EA9780141975658

More Information About This Seller | Ask Bookseller a Question

Buy New
10.32
Convert Currency

Add to Basket

Shipping: 4.32
From Germany to U.S.A.
Destination, Rates & Speeds

There are more copies of this book

View all search results for this book