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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable - Softcover

 
9780141034591: The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable
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What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great’s lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they’re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the ‘experts’, The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything – and take advantage of uncertainty.

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Review:
Great fun ... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling (Freakonomics)

An idiosyncratically brilliant new book (Sunday Telegraph)

A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected (Guardian)

Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling (Financial Times)

Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot (Sunday Times)

In the tradition of The Wisdom of Crowds and The Tipping Point (Time)
From the Publisher:
Shortlisted for the Financial Times and Goldman Sachs Business Book of the Year Award 2007

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  • PublisherPenguin
  • Publication date2010
  • ISBN 10 0141034599
  • ISBN 13 9780141034591
  • BindingPaperback
  • Number of pages394
  • Rating

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Book Description Paperback. Condition: new. Paperback. A condensed guide to life from the bestselling author of The Black Swan, Nassim Nicholas Taleb's The Bed of Procrustes is an invaluable collection of aphorisms navigate the modern worldWhy are we so often unwilling to accept that life is unpredictable? In this brilliant book Nassim Nicholas Taleb distils his idiosyncratic wisdom to demolish our illusions, contrasting the classical values of courage, elegance and erudition against modern philistinism and phoniness. Only by accepting what we don't know, he shows, can we see the world as it really is.'Happily provocative . blistering . his observations concern superiority, wealth, suckerdom, academia, modernity, technology and the all-purpose, ignorant "they" . very quotable' - The New York Times What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This title deals with this questions. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability. Seller Inventory # 9780141034591

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