The Art of Decisions: How to Manage in an Uncertain World

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9780137017102: The Art of Decisions: How to Manage in an Uncertain World

The Fast-Paced, Fun-to-Read Guide to Making Better Decisions!

How much information do you really need to make a business decision? Why don’t past winners keep on winning? When should you fold your hand, and when should you press on? In The Art of Decisions, Chris Blake reveals the amazing hidden realities beneath human decision making–and helps you optimize every decision you make.

Blake begins by exploding the #1 myth of decision making: the idea that if you have enough knowledge, you can engineer away all risk and make a rational, objective decision that’s nearly guaranteed to succeed. Next, Blake turns to the decision-making process itself, teaching better ways to make decisions in a world full of uncertainty, randomness, and tough luck.

Drawing on the secrets of psychology, poker, and probability, you’ll learn how to identify and overcome biases and errors that constantly creep into the decision-making process. You’ll discover the power and pitfalls of intuition in familiar and unfamiliar environments and learn "rules of thumb" drawn from fields as diverse as gambling and computer programming.

You’re human. You’ll never be perfect. But if you want to be right more often, when it matters most, this book will get you there.

• Decision-making lessons from Texas Hold’em

¿¿ What to do about the risks and randomness you can’t eliminate

• Follow your instinct or follow the rules?

¿¿ When to use your intuition--and when to doubt it

• Know when it’s time to decide

¿¿ How to know when you know enough

• Make better decisions in unfamiliar environments

¿¿ Hire a guide or make a map?

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Review:

"log on to Amazon and buy this book. Blake puts his considerable experience to... skilfully dissext why we take decisions, the rules about making the best ones and why most people fail to  take logical ones... Be decisive, do not let this little gem pass you by." - Human Resources, March 2008

"Whatever books you decide to read, a good decision would be to read this one"            - Business Executive

“…an honest account of the role of luck and judgement in management decision-making. It is about the art rather than the science of decision-making; letting go of the fable of certainty and managing effectively in a profoundly uncertain future. This is the key management skills for the 21st century. The Art of Decisions is an invaluable, mind-stretching and entertaining read.”

 

Sidney Callis, Business Executive  

 

About the Author:

Chris Blake brings an extraordinary spectrum of experience to this book. He has served as an accountant, a CEO of an international publishing company, a dot.com entrepreneur, an investment director of a private equity firm, a fundraiser and private investor in small and early-stage companies, a lecturer, and, last but not least, a poker player.

 

"About this title" may belong to another edition of this title.

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Book Description Pearson Education (US), United States, 2009. Hardback. Book Condition: New. 226 x 152 mm. Language: English . Brand New Book. The Fast-Paced, Fun-to-Read Guide to Making Better Decisions! How much information do you really need to make a business decision? Why don t past winners keep on winning? When should you fold your hand, and when should you press on? In The Art of Decisions, Chris Blake reveals the amazing hidden realities beneath human decision making and helps you optimize every decision you make. Blake begins by exploding the #1 myth of decision making: the idea that if you have enough knowledge, you can engineer away all risk and make a rational, objective decision that s nearly guaranteed to succeed. Next, Blake turns to the decision-making process itself, teaching better ways to make decisions in a world full of uncertainty, randomness, and tough luck. Drawing on the secrets of psychology, poker, and probability, you ll learn how to identify and overcome biases and errors that constantly creep into the decision-making process. You ll discover the power and pitfalls of intuition in familiar and unfamiliar environments and learn rules of thumb drawn from fields as diverse as gambling and computer programming. You re human. You ll never be perfect. But if you want to be right more often, when it matters most, this book will get you there. Decision-making lessons from Texas Hold em What to do about the risks and randomness you can t eliminate Follow your instinct or follow the rules? When to use your intuition--and when to doubt it Know when it s time to decide How to know when you know enough Make better decisions in unfamiliar environments Hire a guide or make a map?. Bookseller Inventory # AAS9780137017102

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Book Description Pearson Education (US), United States, 2009. Hardback. Book Condition: New. 226 x 152 mm. Language: English . Brand New Book. The Fast-Paced, Fun-to-Read Guide to Making Better Decisions! How much information do you really need to make a business decision? Why don t past winners keep on winning? When should you fold your hand, and when should you press on? In The Art of Decisions, Chris Blake reveals the amazing hidden realities beneath human decision making and helps you optimize every decision you make. Blake begins by exploding the #1 myth of decision making: the idea that if you have enough knowledge, you can engineer away all risk and make a rational, objective decision that s nearly guaranteed to succeed. Next, Blake turns to the decision-making process itself, teaching better ways to make decisions in a world full of uncertainty, randomness, and tough luck. Drawing on the secrets of psychology, poker, and probability, you ll learn how to identify and overcome biases and errors that constantly creep into the decision-making process. You ll discover the power and pitfalls of intuition in familiar and unfamiliar environments and learn rules of thumb drawn from fields as diverse as gambling and computer programming. You re human. You ll never be perfect. But if you want to be right more often, when it matters most, this book will get you there. Decision-making lessons from Texas Hold em What to do about the risks and randomness you can t eliminate Follow your instinct or follow the rules? When to use your intuition--and when to doubt it Know when it s time to decide How to know when you know enough Make better decisions in unfamiliar environments Hire a guide or make a map?. Bookseller Inventory # AAS9780137017102

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Book Description Pearson Education (US). Hardback. Book Condition: new. BRAND NEW, The Art of Decisions: How to Manage in an Uncertain World, Chris Blake, The Fast-Paced, Fun-to-Read Guide to Making Better Decisions!How much information do you really need to make a business decision? Why don't past winners keep on winning? When should you fold your hand, and when should you press on? In "The Art of Decisions," Chris Blake reveals the amazing hidden realities beneath human decision making-and helps you optimize every decision you make.Blake begins by exploding the #1 myth of decision making: the idea that if you have enough knowledge, you can engineer away all risk and make a rational, objective decision that's nearly guaranteed to succeed. Next, Blake turns to the decision-making process itself, teaching better ways to make decisions in a world full of uncertainty, randomness, and tough luck.Drawing on the secrets of psychology, poker, and probability, you'll learn how to identify and overcome biases and errors that constantly creep into the decision-making process. You'll discover the power and pitfalls of intuition in familiar and unfamiliar environments and learn "rules of thumb" drawn from fields as diverse as gambling and computer programming.You're human. You'll never be perfect. But if you want to be right more often, when it matters most, this book will get you there.- Decision-making lessons from Texas Hold'em What to do about the risks and randomness you can't eliminate- Follow your instinct or follow the rules? When to use your intuition--and when to doubt it- Know when it's time to decide How to know when you know enough- Make better decisions in unfamiliar environments Hire a guide or make a map?". Bookseller Inventory # B9780137017102

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