Why do some nations, initially small and insignificant, go on to build mighty empires, while most nations fail to do so? And why do those successful empire-builders always eventually lose their empires? Peter Turchin, a leading thinker in the highly technical field of population dynamics, lucidly presents for the first time an approach to understanding the world's great powers throughout history--with powerful implications for nations today. Turchin shows how the edges of empires are the crucibles of new long-lived empires and how processes of decline inevitibly follow on a 1000 year cycle. This sweeping work of social science culminates with a crisp declaration of the general principles of the science of history. A short final section considers Tolstoy and free will in a world of historical cycles, and includes an incisive look at the U.S. now.
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[Turchin] explains much of pre-industrial world history with his bold and controversial theory of the rise and fall of empires. -- The Guardian, August 25, 2005
[Turchin] expresses a convincing argument clearly and with a wealth of supporting historical material. -- The New Scientist, October 1, 2005
Peter Turchin is Professor in the Department of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology and Adjunct Professor in the Dept. of Mathematics at the University of Connecticut. He is the author of the technical work HISTORICAL DYNAMICS which presents the statistical data and math behind the sweeping arguments he makes in WAR AND PEACE AND WAR.
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Book Description Pi Press, 2005. Hardcover. Book Condition: New. Hardcover and dust jacket. Good binding and cover. Clean, unmarked pages. Ships daily. Bookseller Inventory # 1509250109
Book Description Pi Press, 2005. Book Condition: New. Brand New, Unread Copy in Perfect Condition. A+ Customer Service! Summary: List of Maps. Introduction: "So Peace Brings Warre and Warre Brings Peace." I. IMPERIOGENESIS: THE RISE OF EMPIRES. 1. A Band of Adventurers Defeats a Kingdom: Ermak's Conquering Cossacks. 2. Life on the Edge: The Transformation of Russia-and America. 3. Slaughter in the Forest: At the Limites of the Roman Empire. 4. Asabiya in the Desert: Ibn Khaldun Discovers the Key to History. 5. The Myth of Self-Interest: And the Science of Cooperation . 6. Born to Be Wolves: The Origins of Rome. 7. A Medieval Black Hole: The Rise of the Great European Powers on Carolingian Marches. II. IMPERIOPATHOSIS: THE FALL OF EMPIRES. 8. The Other Side of the Wheel of Fortune: From the Glorious Thirteenth Century into the Abyss of the Fourteenth. 9. A New Idea of Renaissance: Why Human Conflict is Like a Forest Fire and an Epidemic. 10. The Matthew Principle: Why the Rich Get Richer and the Poor Get Poorer. 11. Wheels Within Wheels: The Many Declines of the Roman Empire. III. CLIODYNAMICS: A NEW KIND OF HISTORY. 12. War and Peace and Particles: The Science of History. 13. The Bowling Alley in History: Measuring the Decline of Social Capital. 14. The End of Empire? How the Mobile Phone Is Changing Cliodynamics. Notes. Acknowledgments. Index. Bookseller Inventory # ABE_book_new_0131499963
Book Description Pi Press, 2005. Hardcover. Book Condition: New. book. Bookseller Inventory # 0131499963
Book Description Pi Press, 2005. Hardcover. Book Condition: New. First Edition. Bookseller Inventory # DADAX0131499963
Book Description U.S.A.: Pi Press, 2005. Hardcover. Book Condition: New. Dust Jacket Condition: New. 1st Edition.. 4738 Language: eng Language: eng. Bookseller Inventory # M-50F
Book Description Book Condition: Brand New. Book Condition: Brand New. Bookseller Inventory # 97801314999661.0
Book Description Pi Press, 2005. Hardcover. Book Condition: New. Bookseller Inventory # P110131499963
Book Description Pi Press. Hardcover. Book Condition: New. 0131499963 New Condition. Bookseller Inventory # NEW4.0047740